Weekly Anticipation Index: 'Disney's A Christmas Carol,' 'The Box,' 'The Fourth Kind' and 'The Men Who Stare at Goats'

Featured Stories - on September 12, 2009 by Phil Contrino

Disney's A Christmas Carol should start November off on a very positive note at the box office.


This week, we've added four new films to our Anticipation Index. Disney's A Christmas Carol, The Box, The Fourth Kind and The Men Who Stare at Goats all open on November 6.

Without a doubt, Carol will emergence victorious by quite a bit. The combination of Jim Carrey, a trusted premise and the track record of director Robert Zemeckis should help make the Disney release one of the biggest hits of the season. Plus, Zemeckis has been making big improvements in the world of performance-capture technology since The Polar Express opened in 2004, so Carol will most likely come to represent an important film in the growing 3D canon.

Cameron Diaz and Milla Jovovich will be squaring off against each other with a pair of thrillers. Diaz stars in The Box, while Jovovich leads The Fourth Kind. The edge has to go to Diaz since she's the bigger star, but the competition is likely to hurt the performance of both films.

Since it deals with Iraq, The Men Who Stare at Goats will be a tough sell. Luckily, the critical reception is already very positive and the film is being compared to Three Kings, another unconventional war movie from Goats star George Clooney.

Check out our predictions for these films as well as others in the table below.

Weekly Anticipation Index, September 12, 2009
Title Release Date Distributor Opening Weekend Cumulative
Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs September 18 Sony/Columbia $19M $65M
Love Happens September 18 Focus $14M $44M
Jennifer's Body September 18 Fox Atomic $22M $53M
The Informant! September 18 Warner Bros. $11M $37M
Fame September 25 MGM/UA $23M $62M
Surrogates September 25 Disney $18M $53M
Zombieland October 2 Sony/Columbia $15M $40M
Couples Retreat October 9 Universal $27M $82M
Where the Wild Things Are October 16 Warner Bros. $27M $80M
Law Abiding Citizen October 16 Overture $15M $43M
Saw VI October 23 Lionsgate $29M $55M
Amelia October 23 Fox Searchlight $14M $50M
Astro Boy October 23 Summit $15M $48M
Cirque du Freak: The Vampire's Assistant October 23 Universal $12M $35M
Michael Jackson's This Is It October 28 Sony $34M $70M
Youth in Revolt October 30 The Weinstein Company $10M $33M
Disney's A Christmas Carol November 6 Disney $50M $175M
The Box November 6 Warner Bros. $15M $40M
The Fourth Kind November 6 Universal $12M $32M
The Men Who Stare at Goats November 6 Overture $11M $40M

Additional reporting by Daniel Garris.

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