Weekly Anticipation Index: 'Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Squeakquel,' 'It's Complicated,' 'Sherlock Holmes,' 'Nine' and 'Up in the Air'

Featured Stories - on October 31, 2009 by Phil Contrino

Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Squeakqual is just one of the strong releases due out near the end of December.


This weekend, we are adding five new films to the Anticipation Index. Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Squeakqual, It's Complicated and Sherlock Holmes are all debuting wide on December 25, while Nine and Up in the Air will expand after opening in limited release.

20th Century Fox's Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Squeakqual is easily the favorite to win over the crowded holiday weekend. The original film brought in a staggering $217.3 million in 2007, making it one of the year's surprise hits. The new installment should be able to improve upon that number considering that it has added the Chipette characters, three girl chipmunks who will give the film more of an appeal among young female audiences.

Robert Downey Jr. lends his new-found clout to Sherlock Holmes. While Holmes won't bring in Iron Man -level numbers, it will be able to succeed due to a familiarity audiences will feel even if they haven't read Sir Arthur Conan Doyle's original novels.

It's Complicated boasts the deadlypotent triple team of Meryl Streep, Steve Martin and Alec Baldwin. Adult audiences will take their children to see The Squeakual during the day before catching this Universal release at night.

The success of Nine and Up in the Air depends in large part upon how well they are reviewed as well as how much awards recognition they receive. Up in the Air has already won glowing reviews on the festival circuit, which means that it's almost guaranteed a spot among the 10 Best Picture nominees at this point. Nine 's cast is easily one of the most impressive of the fall. Daniel Day-Lewis is backed up by an all-star female ensemble filled with the likes of Nicole Kidman, Kate Hudson and even Sophia Loren. There are enough talented actresses in Nine to fill the entire Best Supporting Actress category, so nominations are imminent.

Check out our predictions for these films as well as others in the table below.

Weekly Anticipation Index, October 31, 2009
Title Release Date Distributor Opening Weekend Cumulative
Disney's A Christmas Carol November 6 Disney $47M $175M
The Box November 6 Warner Bros. $12M $33M
The Fourth Kind November 6 Universal $15M $40M
The Men Who Stare at Goats November 6 Overture $12M $43M
2012 November 13 Sony $62M $155M
The Twilight Saga: New Moon November 20 Summit $98M $250M
Planet 51 November 20 Sony $16M $50M
The Blind Side November 20 Warner Bros. $13M $43M
Old Dogs November 25 Disney $24M $85M
Fantastic Mr. Fox November 25 Fox $20M $65M
The Road November 25 The Weinstein Company $12M $35M
Ninja Assassin November 25 Warner Bros. $11M $30M
Everybody's Fine December 4 Miramax $13M $43M
Armored December 4 Screen Gems $11M $30M
Brothers December 4 Lionsgate $10M $28M
The Princess and the Frog December 11 Disney $22M $110M
Invictus December 11 Warner Bros. $17M $75M
Avatar December 18 20th Century Fox $65M $195M
Did You Hear About the Morgans? December 18 Sony/Columbia $21M $90M
Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Squeakqual December 25 Fox $50M $225M
Sherlock Holmes December 25 Warner Bros. $30M $115M
It's Complicated December 25 Universal $20M $90M
Nine December 25 (wide) The Weinstein Company $12M $65M
Up in the Air December 25 (wide) Paramount $10M $65M

Additional reporting by Daniel Garris.

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