Long Range Forecast: 'Saw 3D'

Featured Stories - on August 28, 2010 by Phil Contrino

The Saw franchise takes the 3D route this October

saw3Dforecast.pngThis week, we've added Saw 3D to the Long Range Forecast. The Lionsgate release is set to hit theaters on October 29.

Last October, the Saw property took a huge hit thanks to the behemoth that was Paranormal Activity. Saw VI opened to a mediocre $14.1 million, which marked a steep decline from Saw V's $30 million debut. Meanwhile, Paranormal Activity grabbed $21.1 million during its weekend of wide release.

Saw 3D will have to compete with Paranormal Activity 2, which comes out on October 22. Having both films hit theaters in such a short span of time means that opening weekend receipts are more important than ever. If Paramount manages to convince moviegoers that PA2 is just as exciting and new as the first film, then Saw 3D could be in real trouble. Then again, PA2 could easily bomb in the same way that the sequel to The Blair Witch Project did. If that happens, Saw 3D will be much better off.

Check out our predictions for Saw 3D as well as other films in the table below.

The American: $11 million opening weekend/$33 million cume

Title Release Date Distributor Opening Weekend Cumulative
Saw 3D Oct 29, 2010 Lionsgate
$25,000,000 $47,000,000
Hereafter Oct 22, 2010 Warner Bros.
$16,000,000 $58,000,000
Paranormal Activity 2 Oct 22, 2010 Paramount
$26,000,000 $58,000,000
Red (2010) Oct 15, 2010 Summit
$16,000,000 $50,000,000
Jackass 3D Oct 15, 2010 MTV
Paramount
$30,000,000 $75,000,000
Secretariat Oct 8, 2010 Disney
$14,000,000 $60,000,000
Life as We Know It Oct 8, 2010 Warner Bros.
$19,000,000 $55,000,000
Let Me In Oct 1, 2010 Relativity
$15,000,000 $52,000,000
The Social Network Oct 1, 2010 Sony
$25,000,000 $70,000,000
You Again Sep 24, 2010 Disney
$14,000,000 $47,000,000
Legend of the Guardians: The Owls of Ga'Hoole Sep 24, 2010 Warner Bros.
$22,000,000 $75,000,000
Wall Street: Money Never Sleeps Sep 24, 2010 Fox
$21,000,000 $60,000,000
Alpha & Omega Sep 17, 2010 Lionsgate
$11,000,000 $33,000,000
Devil Sep 17, 2010 Universal
$18,000,000 $42,000,000
Easy A Sep 17, 2010 Screen Gems
$10,000,000 $28,000,000
The Town Sep 17, 2010 Warner Bros.
$11,000,000 $32,000,000
Resident Evil: Afterlife Sep 10, 2010 Screen Gems
$22,000,000 $45,000,000
Going the Distance (2010) Sep 3, 2010 New Line
$12,000,000 $30,000,000
Machete Sep 3, 2010 Fox
$17,000,000 $40,000,000

Additional reporting by Daniel Garris and Alex Edghill.

 

Tags: Saw 3D

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