Long Range Forecast: 'Transformers: Dark of the Moon,' 'Larry Crowne' and 'Monte Carlo'

Featured Stories - on May 07, 2011 by Phil Contrino

transformersforecast.pngWe've added Transformers: Dark of the Moon, Larry Crowne and Monte Carlo to our Long Range Forecast this week. All three films are set to open on July 1.

Transformers: Dark of the Moon is easily one of the summer's biggest sure things. Paramount is doing an excellent job of keeping the film in the minds of moviegoers by releasing the trailers a safe distance apart. Megan Fox's departure from the series may have a small impact, but it won't be anything devastating. If Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part II wasn't coming out in July, there's no question that Dark of the Moon would be the summer's top earner.

The pairing of Tom Hanks and Julia Roberts in Larry Crowne also makes for a sure thing. Hank's latest directorial effort is the perfect bit of counter-programming against Dark of the Moon.

Monte Carlo represents a big test for star Selena Gomez. Is she really the next Miley Cyrus? Maybe, but we're betting that she'll only be able to deliver numbers closer to The Sisterhood of the Traveling Pants ($9.83 million opening) than Cyrus' The Last Song ($16 million debut).

Check out our predictions for these films and others in the table below.

 

Title Release Date Distributor Opening Weekend Cumulative
Larry Crowne Jul 1, 2011 Universal
$22,000,000* $85,000,000
Transformers: Dark of the Moon Jul 1, 2011 Paramount / DreamWorks
$164,000,000* $350,000,000
Monte Carlo Jul 1, 2011 Fox
$9,000,000* $22,000,000
Bad Teacher Jun 24, 2011 Sony / Columbia
$13,000,000 $42,000,000
Cars 2 Jun 24, 2011 Disney
$80,000,000 $305,000,000
Green Lantern Jun 17, 2011 Warner Bros.
$43,000,000 $120,000,000
Mr. Popper's Penguins Jun 17, 2011 Fox
$20,000,000 $65,000,000
Judy Moody And The Not Bummer Summer Jun 10, 2011 Relativity Media
$7,000,000 $23,000,000
Super 8 Jun 10, 2011 Paramount
$42,000,000 $135,000,000
X-Men: First Class Jun 3, 2011 Fox
$70,000,000 $155,000,000
Kung Fu Panda 2 May 26, 2011 Paramount / DreamWorks
$107,000,000* $320,000,000
The Hangover Part II May 26, 2011 Warner Bros.
$95,000,000* $250,000,000
Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides May 20, 2011 Disney
$100,000,000 $260,000,000
Bridesmaids May 13, 2011 Universal
$17,000,000 $70,000,000
Priest (2011) May 13, 2011 Sony / Screen Gems
$12,000,000 $28,000,000

* four-day weekend
Additional reporting by Daniel Garris and Alex Edghill.

Tags: Larry Crowne, Transformers: Dark of the Moon, Monte Carlo

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