Weekend Predictions: 'Green Lantern' and 'Mr. Popper's Penguins'

Featured Stories - on June 15, 2011 by Phil Contrino

predictions617.pngFriday Morning Update: Warner Bros. is reporting that Green Lantern was able to rake in $3.35 million from midnight shows at 1,810 locations. Comparatively, X-Men: First Class took in $3.4 million and Thor grabbed $3.3 million.

Wednesday Afternoon Update: The onslaught of superhero films continues this weekend with Green Lantern, an origin story that will have no problem fending off fellow newcomer Mr. Popper's Penguins.

The success of any major studio is partially dependent on how well they can form franchises, and Warner Bros. is clearly hoping that Green Lantern will be a new one. Stars Ryan Reynolds and Blake Lively are both rapidly building their drawing power, which makes them perfect anchors for a new franchise. Unfortunately, Green Lantern may suffer a bit from the fact that it's being released after two other superhero origin stories: Thor and X-Men: First Class. Thor opened to $65.7 million, while First Class managed $55.1 million. Lantern will inevitably be compared to those films and an opening of less than $50 million will be labeled a failurefairly or not.

Green Lantern trails Thor and X-Men: First Class on Facebook and Twitter. Subscribe to Boxoffice Pro to see the full Facebook, Twitter and WebWatch tracking.

As of 4 p.m. PT, Fandango.com is reporting that Green Lantern is responsible for 7% of daily sales. Even though Lantern is being overshadowed by Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2's 52% daily haul, 7% is certainly not a blockbuster-level figure.

Look for Green Lantern to take in $50 million from around 3,600 locations during its debut frame.

Jim Carrey may have two or three huge earners left in him, but Mr. Popper's Penguins certainly isn't shaping up to be one of them. The comedy has never really rebounded from the mediocre reaction to its first teaser trailer. Family audiences seem prepared to simply save their money for Cars 2 next weekend.

Mr. Popper's Penguins isn't performing as poorly as Gulliver's Travels on Twitter and Facebook, but it's way behind The Karate Kid, another June release aimed at families.

Fandango is reporting that Penguins has yet to crack the top five sellers list. That's a very disconcerting sign.

Expect Mr. Popper's Penguins to take in $13.5 million from around 3,200 locations.

Check out the rest of our top 10 predictions in the table below.

 

Title Release Date Distributor Weekend Gross
Cumulative
Green Lantern Jun 17, 2011 Warner Bros.
$50,000,000 $50,000,000
Super 8 Jun 9, 2011 Paramount
$21,000,000 $72,800,000
Mr. Popper's Penguins Jun 17, 2011 Fox
$13,500,000 $13,500,000
X-Men: First Class Jun 3, 2011 Fox
$13,000,000 $122,000,000
Kung Fu Panda 2 May 26, 2011 Paramount / DreamWorks
$11,500,000 $146,200,000
The Hangover Part II May 26, 2011 Warner Bros.
$10,500,000 $234,000,000
Bridesmaids May 13, 2011 Universal
$7,700,000 $137,200,000
Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides May 20, 2011 Disney
$6,700,000 $220,800,000
Midnight in Paris May 20, 2011 Sony Pictures Classics
$4,700,000 $21,300,000
Judy Moody And The Not Bummer Summer Jun 10, 2011 Relativity Media
$3,500,000 $12,300,000

Additional reporting by Daniel Garris and Alex Edghill.

Tags: Green Lantern, Mr, Popper's Penguins, The Art of Getting By

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