Long Range Forecast: 'Jack and Jill,' 'Immortals' and 'J. Edgar'
Featured Stories - on September 17, 2011 by Phil Contrino
We've added Jack and Jill, Immortals and J. Edgar to our Long Range Forecast this week. All three films are set to open on November 11.
Jack and Jill may have one of the most groan-inducing trailers of the year, but a high-concept Adam Sandler comedy is as close to a safe bet as their is in Hollywood right now. Sure, Sandler has stumbled in the past—Little Nicky, anyone?—but even his stumbles manage to rake in a decent chunk of change. Jack and Jill won't be Sandler's biggest film, but it will be a perfectly viable option for families looking to laugh.
Immortals looks to capitalize on the same enthusiasm for ancient tales that turned 300 into a surprise hit way back in 2006. The lack of a truly powerful cast—Mickey Rourke and Frida Pinto aren't exactly established draws—could hurt the film during a fall full of star vehicles. It also doesn't help that Immortals seems to be mimicking 300 just a little too much. Expectations are relatively modest for now.
J. Edgar is the very definition of Oscar bait. Early buzz indicates that star Leonardo DiCaprio is basically a lock for a Best Actor nomination, and the film is being tossed around as a Best Picture contender even though not even an official trailer has been released yet. Director Clint Eastwood's films tend to skew older, so expect a relatively soft opening followed by weeks of solid grosses.
Check out our predictions for these films and others in the table below.
| Title | Release Date | Distributor | Opening Weekend | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack and Jill | Nov 11, 2011 | Sony / Columbia |
$25,000,000 | $80,000,000 |
| Immortals | Nov 11, 2011 | Relativity Media |
$21,000,000 | $58,000,000 |
| J. Edgar | Nov 9, 2011 | Warner Bros. |
$12,000,000 | $60,000,000 |
| A Very Harold & Kumar Christmas | Nov 4, 2011 | Warner Bros. / New Line |
$10,000,000 | $28,000,000 |
| Tower Heist | Nov 4, 2011 | Universal |
$38,000,000 | $130,000,000 |
| Puss in Boots (2011) | Nov 4, 2011 | Paramount / DreamWorks |
$40,000,000 | $125,000,000 |
| Johnny English Reborn | Oct 28, 2011 | Universal |
$6,000,000 | $17,000,000 |
| In Time | Oct 28, 2011 | Fox |
$19,000,000 | $53,000,000 |
| Anonymous | Oct 28, 2011 | Sony / Columbia |
$12,000,000 | $36,000,000 |
| The Rum Diary | Oct 28, 2011 | FilmDistrict |
$15,000,000 | $38,000,000 |
| The Three Musketeers (2011) | Oct 21, 2011 | Summit |
$14,000,000 | $42,000,000 |
| Paranormal Activity 3 | Oct 21, 2011 | Paramount |
$34,000,000 | $73,000,000 |
| Footloose (2011) | Oct 14, 2011 | Paramount |
$20,000,000 | $57,000,000 |
| The Big Year | Oct 14, 2011 | Fox |
$14,000,000 | $45,000,000 |
| The Thing (2011) | Oct 14, 2011 | Universal |
$15,000,000 | $38,000,000 |
| The Ides of March | Oct 7, 2011 | Sony / Columbia |
$12,000,000 | $40,000,000 |
| Real Steel | Oct 7, 2011 | Disney / DreamWorks |
$27,000,000 | $70,000,000 |
| What's Your Number? | Sep 30, 2011 | Fox |
$11,000,000 | $32,000,000 |
| 50/50 | Sep 30, 2011 | Summit |
$14,000,000 | $43,000,000 |
| Courageous | Sep 30, 2011 | Sony / TriStar |
$5,000,000 | $20,000,000 |
| Dream House | Sep 30, 2011 | Universal |
$15,000,000 | $48,000,000 |
| Abduction | Sep 23, 2011 | Lionsgate |
$16,000,000 | $36,000,000 |
| Moneyball | Sep 23, 2011 | Sony / Columbia |
$18,000,000 | $62,000,000 |
| Dolphin Tale | Sep 23, 2011 | Warner Bros. |
$11,000,000 | $38,000,000 |
| Killer Elite | Sep 23, 2011 | Open Road |
$12,000,000 | $32,000,000 |
Additional reporting by Daniel Garris and Alex Edghill.
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