Long Range Forecast: 'Broken City', 'The Last Stand' & 'Mama'

Featured Stories - on November 23, 2012 by BOXOFFICE Staff

jan18.pngThis week, we've added three new releases to our Long Range Forecast: Broken City, The Last Stand and Mama. All three flicks are currently slated to open on Friday, January 18, 2013.

Broken City

PROS:

- Mark Wahlberg delivered a January sleeper hit with Contraband in 2012. January could be his month.
- Although Russell Crowe isn't the same box office draw he was a decade ago, his name still commands audience attention. Especially when paired with another star. 

CONS:

- Both Wahlberg and Crowe have had their share of bombs.
- Break-out potential could be limited by opening the same weekend as The Last Stand

The Last Stand

PROS:

- Arnold makes his return to starring roles after his hiatus from film serving as Governor of California. A lot of fans are bound to welcome his return.
- Lionsgate is very good at selling genre films like The Last Stand. They'll know exactly how to handle this. 

CONS:

- Arnold's public image took a bit of a hit recently.
- Established properties are where Arnold can really shine at this stage in his career, so expectations are relatively modest for The Last Stand.
- Arnold's expanded role in The Expendables 2 didn't seem to make a difference in that film's box office performance.

Mama

PROS:

- Very strong trailer is creating plenty of online buzz.
- Horror enthusiasts will get behind it in a big way
- The PG-13 rating could increase the size of the film's potential audience.

CONS:

- Arrives on the scene two weeks after Texas Chainsaw 3D and one week after A Haunted House.
- A lack of genuine star power could lead to a soft opening.

Check out our predictions for these and other upcoming films in the table below.

 

Title Release Date Distributor Opening Weekend Cumulative
Mama Jan 18, 2013 Universal
$17,000,000* $37,000,000
Broken City Jan 18, 2013 Fox
$20,000,000* $48,000,000
The Last Stand Jan 18, 2013 Lionsgate
$15,000,000* $33,000,000
Gangster Squad Jan 11, 2013 Warner Bros.
$16,000,000 $47,000,000
A Haunted House Jan 11, 2013 Open Road
$11,000,000 $28,000,000
Texas Chainsaw 3D Jan 4, 2013 Lionsgate
$16,000,000 $30,000,000
Parental Guidance Dec 25, 2012 Fox
$9,000,000 $35,000,000
Django Unchained Dec 25, 2012 Weinstein Company
$28,000,000 $103,000,000
Les Miserables (2012) Dec 25, 2012 Universal
$22,000,000 $108,000,000
This is 40 Dec 21, 2012 Universal
$12,000,000 $65,000,000
Jack Reacher Dec 21, 2012 Paramount
$16,000,000 $75,000,000
Zero Dark Thirty Jan 11, 2013 Sony / Columbia
$13,000,000 $55,000,000
Monsters, Inc. 3D Dec 19, 2012 Disney
$8,000,000 $36,000,000
The Guilt Trip Dec 19, 2012 Paramount
$10,000,000 $53,000,000
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey Dec 14, 2012 Warner Bros. / New Line
$137,000,000 $475,000,000
Playing For Keeps (2012) Dec 7, 2012 FilmDistrict
$6,000,000 $18,000,000
Killing Them Softly Nov 30, 2012 Weinstein Company
$11,000,000 $40,000,000

 

*four-day weekend

Phil Contrino, Daniel Garris, Alex Edghill and Shawn Robbins contributed to this article.

Tags: The Last Stand, Mama, Broken City

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