Long Range Forecast: 'Hansel and Gretel: Witch Hunters', 'Movie 43' & 'Parker'
Featured Stories - on December 01, 2012 by BOXOFFICE Staff
This week, three new flicks join our Long Range Forecast as the early new year's release calendar continues to take shape. Hansel and Gretel: Witch Hunters, Movie 43 and Parker are currently scheduled to open on Friday, January 25, 2013.
Hansel and Gretel: Witch Hunters
PROS:
- Jeremy Renner's profile continues to rise after The Avengers and The Bourne Legacy.
- Will get a bump from 3D and IMAX admissions.
CONS:
- Do that many people really want to see an action film set in the universe of Hansel & Gretel?
- Likely to be extremely front-loaded towards opening weekend given its fanboy driven nature.
- Will be some audience crossover between it and Parker.
Movie 43
PROS:
- A large ensemble cast having fun could appeal to a number of different audience demographics.
- January is typically a good time of year to release comedies.
- The fragmented nature of the film may prove to be a major selling point.
CONS:
- It is also possible that the fragmented nature will keep more moviegoers away than it draws in.
- Opens just two weeks after A Haunted House.
Parker
PROS:
- Jason Statham is a very consistent performer at the box office in starring roles.
- The presence of Jennifer Lopez could help the film expand a bit beyond Statham's usual audience.
CONS:
- The presence of Lopez could turn off some of Statham's usual audience.
- Will be some audience crossover between it Hansel & Gretel: Witch Hunters.
- Will also face competition from Broken City and The Last Stand, which will be in their second weekend of release.
Notable changes on our forecast this week include Playing for Keeps.
Check out our predictions for these and other upcoming films in the table below.
| Title | Release Date | Distributor | Opening Weekend | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Movie 43 | Jan 25, 2013 | Relativity Media |
$15,000,000 | $40,000,000 |
| Parker | Jan 25, 2013 | FilmDistrict |
$10,000,000 | $27,000,000 |
| Hansel and Gretel: Witch Hunters | Jan 25, 2013 | Paramount |
$13,000,000 | $30,000,000 |
| The Last Stand | Jan 18, 2013 | Lionsgate |
$15,000,000* | $33,000,000 |
| Broken City | Jan 18, 2013 | Fox |
$20,000,000* | $48,000,000 |
| Mama | Jan 18, 2013 | Universal |
$17,000,000* | $37,000,000 |
| A Haunted House | Jan 11, 2013 | Open Road |
$11,000,000 | $28,000,000 |
| Gangster Squad | Jan 11, 2013 | Warner Bros. |
$16,000,000 | $47,000,000 |
| Texas Chainsaw 3D | Jan 4, 2013 | Lionsgate |
$16,000,000 | $30,000,000 |
| Parental Guidance | Dec 25, 2012 | Fox |
$9,000,000 | $35,000,000 |
| Les Miserables (2012) | Dec 25, 2012 | Universal |
$22,000,000 | $108,000,000 |
| Django Unchained | Dec 25, 2012 | Weinstein Company |
$28,000,000 | $103,000,000 |
| Jack Reacher | Dec 21, 2012 | Paramount |
$16,000,000 | $75,000,000 |
| This is 40 | Dec 21, 2012 | Universal |
$12,000,000 | $65,000,000 |
| Monsters, Inc. 3D | Dec 19, 2012 | Disney |
$8,000,000 | $36,000,000 |
| The Guilt Trip | Dec 19, 2012 | Paramount |
$10,000,000 | $53,000,000 |
| Zero Dark Thirty | Jan 11, 2013 | Sony / Columbia |
$13,000,000 | $55,000,000 |
| The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey | Dec 14, 2012 | Warner Bros. / New Line |
$137,000,000 | $475,000,000 |
| Playing For Keeps (2012) | Dec 7, 2012 | FilmDistrict |
$6,000,000 | $20,000,000 |
* = Four-day weekend (Friday through Monday)
Shawn Robins, Daniel Garris, Phil Contrino and Alex Edghill contributed to this report.
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