Long Range Forecast: 'Hansel and Gretel: Witch Hunters', 'Movie 43' & 'Parker'

Featured Stories - on December 01, 2012 by BOXOFFICE Staff

jan25.pngThis week, three new flicks join our Long Range Forecast as the early new year's release calendar continues to take shape. Hansel and Gretel: Witch Hunters, Movie 43 and Parker are currently scheduled to open on Friday, January 25, 2013.

Hansel and Gretel: Witch Hunters

PROS:

- Jeremy Renner's profile continues to rise after The Avengers and The Bourne Legacy.
- Will get a bump from 3D and IMAX admissions.

CONS:

- Do that many people really want to see an action film set in the universe of Hansel & Gretel?
- Likely to be extremely front-loaded towards opening weekend given its fanboy driven nature.
- Will be some audience crossover between it and Parker.

Movie 43

PROS:

- A large ensemble cast having fun could appeal to a number of different audience demographics.
- January is typically a good time of year to release comedies.
- The fragmented nature of the film may prove to be a major selling point.

CONS:

- It is also possible that the fragmented nature will keep more moviegoers away than it draws in.
- Opens just two weeks after A Haunted House.

Parker

PROS:

- Jason Statham is a very consistent performer at the box office in starring roles.
- The presence of Jennifer Lopez could help the film expand a bit beyond Statham's usual audience.

CONS:

- The presence of Lopez could turn off some of Statham's usual audience.
- Will be some audience crossover between it Hansel & Gretel: Witch Hunters.
- Will also face competition from Broken City and The Last Stand, which will be in their second weekend of release.

Notable changes on our forecast this week include Playing for Keeps.

Check out our predictions for these and other upcoming films in the table below.

Title Release Date Distributor Opening Weekend Cumulative
Movie 43 Jan 25, 2013 Relativity Media
 $15,000,000 $40,000,000
Parker Jan 25, 2013 FilmDistrict
 $10,000,000 $27,000,000
Hansel and Gretel: Witch Hunters Jan 25, 2013 Paramount
 $13,000,000 $30,000,000
The Last Stand Jan 18, 2013 Lionsgate
 $15,000,000* $33,000,000
Broken City Jan 18, 2013 Fox
 $20,000,000* $48,000,000
Mama Jan 18, 2013 Universal
 $17,000,000* $37,000,000
A Haunted House Jan 11, 2013 Open Road
 $11,000,000 $28,000,000
Gangster Squad Jan 11, 2013 Warner Bros.
 $16,000,000 $47,000,000
Texas Chainsaw 3D Jan 4, 2013 Lionsgate
 $16,000,000 $30,000,000
Parental Guidance Dec 25, 2012 Fox
 $9,000,000 $35,000,000
Les Miserables (2012) Dec 25, 2012 Universal
 $22,000,000 $108,000,000
Django Unchained Dec 25, 2012 Weinstein Company
 $28,000,000 $103,000,000
Jack Reacher Dec 21, 2012 Paramount
 $16,000,000 $75,000,000
This is 40 Dec 21, 2012 Universal
 $12,000,000 $65,000,000
Monsters, Inc. 3D Dec 19, 2012 Disney
 $8,000,000 $36,000,000
The Guilt Trip Dec 19, 2012 Paramount
 $10,000,000 $53,000,000
Zero Dark Thirty Jan 11, 2013 Sony / Columbia
 $13,000,000 $55,000,000
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey Dec 14, 2012 Warner Bros. / New Line
 $137,000,000 $475,000,000
Playing For Keeps (2012) Dec 7, 2012 FilmDistrict
 $6,000,000 $20,000,000

* = Four-day weekend (Friday through Monday)

Shawn Robins, Daniel Garris, Phil Contrino and Alex Edghill contributed to this report.

Tags: Hansel and Gretel: Witch Hunters, Movie 43, Parker

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