Long Range Forecast: '21 and Over', 'Jack the Giant Slayer', 'The Last Exorcism Part II' & 'Phantom'

Featured Stories - on January 05, 2013 by BOXOFFICE Staff

mar1.pngFour new wide releases join our Long Range Forecast this week. 21 & Over, Jack the Giant Slayer, The Last Exorcism Part II and Phantom are currently scheduled to open on Friday, March 1.

21 & Over

PROS:

- Selling the film as from the writers of The Hangover could give it a bit of credibility.

CONS:

- With no star power, the film will have to rely on younger audiences' interest.

Jack the Giant Slayer

PROS:

- Fantasy films have had some decent success in March over the past few years.
- A somewhat familiar cast including Ewan McGregor could entice audiences.
- The familiar name/tale will also give the film some extra attention. 

CONS:

- Not all fantasy films are hits and the film's delays could mean some trouble.
- Opening three months after The Hobbit and one week before Oz: The Great and Powerful, will the film have enough demand to drive it? 

The Last Exorcism Part II

PROS:

- The horror genre has been doing well of late as audiences begin to migrate to other series beyond Paranormal Activity.

CONS:

- The first film opened well but tanked with poor word of mouth.
- Opening shortly after Dark Skies could lessen demand.  

Phantom (2013)

PROS:

- As the only opener of the week aimed toward adults, it could sneak in a small audience.

CONS:

- Can Ed Harris and David Duchovny drive a film in 2013?

Notable changes on our forecast this week include Zero Dark Thirty, Gangster Squad and A Haunted House.

Check out our predictions for these and other upcoming films in the table below.

Title Release Date Distributor Opening Weekend Cumulative
Phantom (2013) Mar 1, 2013 RCR Media Group
$5,000,000 $13,000,000
Jack the Giant Slayer Mar 1, 2013 Warner Bros. / New Line
$23,000,000 $60,000,000
The Last Exorcism Part II Mar 1, 2013 CBS Films
$11,000,000 $23,000,000
21 And Over Mar 1, 2013 Relativity Media
$15,000,000 $45,000,000
Dark Skies Feb 22, 2013 Weinstein / Dimension
$10,000,000 $23,000,000
Snitch (2013) Feb 22, 2013 Lionsgate / Summit
$13,000,000 $35,000,000
Safe Haven Feb 14, 2013 Relativity Media
$20,000,000* $52,000,000
Escape From Planet Earth Feb 14, 2013 Weinstein Company
$13,000,000* $35,000,000
A Good Day to Die Hard Feb 14, 2013 Fox
$47,000,000* $125,000,000
Beautiful Creatures (2013) Feb 13, 2013 Warner Bros.
$21,000,000* $57,000,000
Side Effects (2013) Feb 8, 2013 Open Road
$21,000,000 $65,000,000
Identity Thief Feb 8, 2013 Universal
$19,000,000 $62,000,000
Bullet to the Head Feb 1, 2013 Warner Bros.
$8,000,000 $20,000,000
Warm Bodies Feb 1, 2013 Lionsgate / Summit
$19,000,000 $50,000,000
Movie 43 Jan 25, 2013 Relativity Media
$13,000,000 $35,000,000
Parker Jan 25, 2013 FilmDistrict
$10,000,000 $27,000,000
Hansel and Gretel: Witch Hunters Jan 25, 2013 Paramount
$13,000,000 $30,000,000
Broken City Jan 18, 2013 Fox
$20,000,000* $48,000,000
The Last Stand Jan 18, 2013 Lionsgate
$15,000,000* $33,000,000
Mama Jan 18, 2013 Universal
$17,000,000* $37,000,000
A Haunted House Jan 11, 2013 Open Road
$19,000,000 $50,000,000
Gangster Squad
Zero Dark Thirty 
Jan 11, 2013
Jan 11, 2013 
Warner Bros.
Sony / Columbia
$17,000,000
$18,000,000 
$48,000,000
$80,000,000 

* = Four-day weekend (Friday-Monday)

Phil Contrino, Daniel Garris, Alex Edghill and Shawn Robbins contributed to this report. 

Tags: 21 & Over, The Last Exorcism Part II, Phantom, Jack The Giant Slayer

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