Long Range Forecast: 'Heaven Is For Real', 'Transcendence', 'A Haunted House 2' and 'Bears'
Featured Stories - on February 21, 2014 by BoxOffice Staff
BoxOffice adds four new films to our Long Range Forecast this week: Heaven Is For Real, Transcendence, A Haunted House 2 and Bears. Will they help April post healthy numbers or are they doomed to lack momentum due to the oncoming Summer season?
Heaven Is For Real
(Sony)
PROS:
- The fact that it's based on a best-selling book helps quite a bit.
- Sony successfully turned Courageous--another film aimed at religious crowds--into a $35 million sleeper hit back in 2011, so they clearly know how to handle this kind of material.
CONS:
- We're concerned that the one-two punch of Son of God in February and Noah in March will steal away the attention of religious moviegoers and leave little behind for Heaven is for Real.
- Star Greg Kinnear is far from a reliable draw.
- Some families may opt to see Bears instead.
Transcendence
(Warner Bros.)
PROS:
- The first trailer is helping build buzz at a steady pace on Facebook and Twitter.
- Transcendence boasts one of the most impressive ensemble casts of the year.
- We're betting that first-time director Wally Pfister has learned more than a few tricks from Christopher Nolan after serving as cinematographer on many of his films.
CONS:
- Star Johnny Depp is on a cold streak following Dark Shadows and The Lone Ranger.
- It's possible that males 18-34--a big demo for this one--may just save their money until The Amazing Spider-Man 2 kicks off the summer season a few weeks later.
- The sci-fi genre is general is not very reliable.
A Haunted House 2
(Open Road)
PROS:
- The original's $40 million haul came as something of a surprise. It's clear that Marlan Wayans still has a loyal fanbase.
- Early to mid-April doesn't boast a lot of comedies, so competition in that area will be thin.
CONS:
- The underwhelming performance of Scary Movie 5 last April is reason for concern. The horror-spoof genre could be running out of steam yet again.
- The film's marketing campaign makes A Haunted House 2 feel way too much like its predecessor. Redundancy isn't always a good thing.
Bears
(Disneynature)
PROS:
- This one will be an easy choice for families with young children.
- 2012's Chimpanzee turned into a solid $28 million hit. It's possible that the Disneynature brand is growing.
CONS:
- There are a lot of films aimed at families during the first four months of 2014, which means that Bears could hit a wall.
Check out our predictions for these films as well as others in the table below. Notable changes include Non-Stop (up), Son of God (up) and 300: Rise of an Empire (up).
Title | Release Date | Distributor | First Weekend of Wide Release | Cumulative |
---|---|---|---|---|
A Haunted House 2 | Apr 18, 2014 | Open Road |
$14,000,000 | $31,000,000 |
Bears | Apr 18, 2014 | Disneynature |
$7,000,000 | $21,000,000 |
Transcendence | Apr 17, 2014 | Warner Bros. |
$25,000,000* | $76,000,000 |
Heaven is for Real | Apr 16, 2014 | Sony / TriStar |
$7,000,000* | $23,000,000 |
Draft Day | Apr 11, 2014 | Lionsgate / Summit |
$11,000,000 | $34,000,000 |
St. Vincent | Apr 11, 2014 | Weinstein Company |
$4,000,000 | $12,000,000 |
Oculus | Apr 11, 2014 | Relativity Media |
$12,000,000 | $31,000,000 |
Rio 2 | Apr 11, 2014 | Fox |
$41,000,000 | $148,000,000 |
Captain America: The Winter Soldier | Apr 4, 2014 | Disney |
$87,000,000 | $225,000,000 |
Sabotage (2014) | Mar 28, 2014 | Open Road |
$7,000,000 | $15,000,000 |
Noah | Mar 28, 2014 | Paramount |
$47,000,000 | $144,000,000 |
Muppets Most Wanted | Mar 21, 2014 | Disney |
$21,000,000 | $57,000,000 |
Divergent | Mar 21, 2014 | Lionsgate / Summit |
$55,000,000 | $135,000,000 |
Need For Speed | Mar 14, 2014 | Disney / DreamWorks |
$21,000,000 | $53,000,000 |
Bad Words | Mar 14, 2014 | Focus |
$12,000,000 | $40,000,000 |
Tyler Perry’s The Single Moms Club | Mar 14, 2014 | Lionsgate |
$16,000,000 | $36,000,000 |
Mr. Peabody & Sherman | Mar 7, 2014 | Fox / DreamWorks Animation |
$25,000,000 | $98,000,000 |
300: Rise of an Empire | Mar 7, 2014 | Warner Bros. |
$21,000,000 | $50,000,000 |
Non-Stop (2014) | Feb 28, 2014 | Universal |
$28,000,000 | $83,000,000 |
Son of God | Feb 28, 2014 | Fox |
$13,000,000 | $42,000,000 |
*3-day weekend
Phil Contrino, Daniel Garris and Shawn Robbins contributed to this report.
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