Long Range Forecast: 'The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 1'

Featured Stories - on September 29, 2014 by BoxOffice Staff

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Catching Fire was the biggest hit to open in North America in 2013 thanks to a staggering $424.7 million haul. Will Mockingjay Part 1 be able to surpass that or will there be a minor slump before the franchise surges again with Mockingjay Part 2? This week BoxOffice takes a closer look at the commercial prospects for the Lionsgate release.

PROS:

- The property has been quite on strong Facebook and Twitter since the release of Catching Fire last November.
- Catching Fire clearly brought a lot of news fans on board, and that's a great thing for the franchise as a whole.
- The marketing campaign has utilized teaser trailers in a very smart way.

CONS:

- If either Interstellar or Big Hero 6 end up over-performing, it could eat into Mockingjay's profits.

Check out our predictions for this film and others in the table below.

Title Release Date Distributor Opening Weekend Cumulative
The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 1 Nov 21, 2014 Lionsgate
$155,000,000 $393,000,000
Dumb and Dumber To Nov 14, 2014 Universal
$37,000,000 $93,000,000
Beyond the Lights Nov 14, 2014 Relativity Media
$9,000,000 $20,000,000
Big Hero 6 Nov 7, 2014 Disney
$47,000,000 $183,000,000
Interstellar Nov 7, 2014 Paramount
$79,000,000 $332,000,000
Nightcrawler Oct 31, 2014 Open Road
$6,500,000 $18,000,000
Saw (2014 re-issue) Oct 31, 2014 Lionsgate
$6,000,000 $10,000,000
Ouija Oct 24, 2014 Universal
$24,000,000 $53,000,000
The Book of Life (2014) Oct 17, 2014 Fox
$14,000,000 $42,000,000
The Best of Me Oct 17, 2014 Relativity Media
$11,000,000 $34,000,000
Fury (2014) Oct 17, 2014 Sony / Columbia
$27,000,000 $100,000,000
The Judge Oct 10, 2014 Warner Bros.
$18,000,000 $69,000,000
Dracula Untold Oct 10, 2014 Universal
$10,000,000 $23,000,000
Alexander and the Terrible, Horrible, No Good, Very Bad Day Oct 10, 2014 Disney
$19,000,000 $67,000,000
Addicted Oct 10, 2014 Lionsgate
$11,000,000 $24,000,000
Annabelle Oct 3, 2014 Warner Bros. / New Line
$27,000,000 $63,000,000
Left Behind (2014) Oct 3, 2014 Freestyle Releasing
$7,000,000 $17,000,000
Gone Girl Oct 3, 2014 Fox
$28,000,000 $100,000,000

Phil Contrino, Daniel Garris and Shawn Robbins contributed to this report.

Tags: predictions, The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 1

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