Long Range Forecast: 'McFarland, USA'

Featured Stories - on December 26, 2014 by BoxOffice Staff

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Kevin Costner's comeback continues this February with McFarland, USA, an inspirational sports drama from Disney. Will McFarland, USA become a sleeper hit or will it join Costner's list of underperformers? This week BoxOffice takes a closer look at the film's commercial prospects.

McFarland, USA
(Disney)

PROS:

- Never underestimate Disney's marketing muscle.
- Inspirational sports drama always have breakout potential.
- This could serve as much-needed counterprogramming to Fifty Shades of Grey.

CONS:

- Disney had a tough time launching Million Dollar Arm last year despite enthusiastic audiences responses.
- Draft Day, Costner's last sports flick, didn't connect at the box office.
- February is unusually crowded this year.

Check out our predictions for this film and others in the table below. 

Title Release Date (Wide) Distributor First Weekend Of Wide Release Cumulative
McFarland, USA Feb 20, 2015 Disney
$12,000,000 $37,000,000
Hot Tub Time Machine 2 Feb 20, 2015 Paramount
$11,000,000 $28,000,000
Fifty Shades of Grey Feb 13, 2015 Universal
$67,000,000** $135,000,000
Kingsman: The Secret Service Feb 13, 2015 Fox
$23,000,000** $60,000,000
Jupiter Ascending Feb 6, 2015 Warner Bros.
$20,000,000 $53,000,000
The SpongeBob Movie: Sponge Out of Water Feb 6, 2015 Paramount
$31,000,000 $105,000,000
Seventh Son Feb 6, 2015 Universal
$8,000,000 $19,000,000
Project Almanac Jan 30, 2015 Paramount
$16,000,000 $41,000,000
Black or White Jan 30, 2015 Relativity Media
$7,000,000 $22,000,000
The Boy Next Door Jan 23, 2015 Universal
$8,000,000 $21,000,000
Mortdecai Jan 23, 2015 Lionsgate
$10,000,000 $26,000,000
Strange Magic Jan 23, 2015 Disney
$9,000,000 $24,000,000
American Sniper Jan 16, 2015 Warner Bros.
$29,000,000** $81,000,000
Paddington Jan 16, 2015 Weinstein / Dimension
$22,000,000** $67,000,000
The Wedding Ringer Jan 16, 2015 Sony / Screen Gems
$32,000,000** $81,000,000
Blackhat Jan 16, 2015 Universal
$15,000,000** $40,000,000
Selma Jan 9, 2015 Paramount
$15,000,000 $60,000,000
Taken 3 Jan 9, 2015 Fox
$33,000,000 $91,000,000
The Woman In Black 2: Angel of Death Jan 2, 2015 Relativity Media
$9,500,000 $21,000,000

*3-day weekend
**4-day weekend

Phil Contrino, Daniel Garris and Shawn Robbins contributed to this article.  

 

Tags: McFarland USA, predictions

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