Long Range Forecast: 'Chappie'

Featured Stories - on January 09, 2015 by BoxOffice Staff

chappielongrange.png

Acclaimed director Neill Blomkamp (District 9, Elysium) returns with Chappie, a sci-fi drama about a crime-fighting robot and his adopted family that looks like Short Circuit on steroids. Will sci-fi enthusiasts rally behind the film and help it break out or is the concept not friendly enough for mainstream consumption? BoxOffice takes a closer look at Chappie's commercial prospects. 

Chappie
(Sony)

- Considering that District 9 was his first film, Blomkamp is 2-for-2 at the box office. District 9 earned $208 million globally, while Elysium managed $286.2 million.
- The star power of Hugh Jackman should help draw in moviegoers who may be skeptical about the premise. - Opening in early March is smart because Chappie will avoiding too much competition from Insurgent on March 20.

CONS:

- Chappie could end up being one of those films that's awkwardly pitched between being made for adults but having more appeal among children. 
- If Focus overperforms--always a possibility when dealing with Will Smith--then it could hinder Chappie.
- Cinderella's opening the following weekend could end up dominating the marketplace, which would hurt Chappie's ability to build based on word of mouth.  

Check out our predictions for this film and others in the table below.

Title Release Date (Wide) Distributor First Weekend of Wide Release Cumulative
Unfinished Business Mar 6, 2015 Fox
$16,000,000 $48,000,000
Chappie Mar 6, 2015 Sony / Columbia
$18,000,000 $55,000,000
The Coup Mar 6, 2015 Weinstein Company
$7,000,000 $19,000,000
Focus Feb 27, 2015 Warner Bros.
$20,000,000 $61,000,000
The Lazarus Effect Feb 27, 2015 Relativity Media
$9,000,000 $21,000,000
McFarland, USA Feb 20, 2015 Disney
$12,000,000 $37,000,000
Hot Tub Time Machine 2 Feb 20, 2015 Paramount
$11,000,000 $28,000,000
Fifty Shades of Grey Feb 13, 2015 Universal / Focus
$61,000,000** $148,000,000
Kingsman: The Secret Service Feb 13, 2015 Fox
$23,000,000** $60,000,000
The SpongeBob Movie: Sponge Out of Water Feb 6, 2015 Paramount
$31,000,000 $105,000,000
Seventh Son Feb 6, 2015 Universal
$8,000,000 $19,000,000
Jupiter Ascending Feb 6, 2015 Warner Bros.
$20,000,000 $53,000,000
Black or White Jan 30, 2015 Relativity Media
$7,000,000 $20,000,000
Project Almanac Jan 30, 2015 Paramount
$16,000,000 $41,000,000
The Boy Next Door Jan 23, 2015 Universal
$8,000,000 $21,000,000
Strange Magic Jan 23, 2015 Disney
$9,000,000 $24,000,000
Mortdecai Jan 23, 2015 Lionsgate
$10,000,000 $26,000,000
Blackhat Jan 16, 2015 Universal
$11,000,000** $29,000,000
Paddington Jan 16, 2015 Weinstein / Dimension
$27,000,000** $82,000,000
The Wedding Ringer Jan 16, 2015 Sony / Screen Gems
$28,000,000** $69,000,000
American Sniper Jan 16, 2015 Warner Bros.
$38,000,000** $112,000,000

*3-day weekend
**4-day weekend

Phil Contrino, Daniel Garris and Shawn Robbins contributed to this report. 

 

Tags: Chappie, predictions

1 Comment

What do you think?