Weekend Forecast: 'Terminator Genisys' & 'Magic Mike XXL'
Featured Stories - on June 30, 2015 by BoxOffice Staff
July begins with two sequels fighting it out for the Independence Day holiday audiences. Who will win?
- Under new management at Paramount, the powers-that-be have touted the film has a reboot of everything that's come before. That's paid off for several franchises in the past... will it work this time?
- The return of Arnold in his most iconic role should convince fans who stayed home for Terminator Salvation in 2009 to show up.
- With around 1.2 million Facebook fans, there's definitely some interest in the reboot.
- Early reviews lean heavily negative and could further serve to turn off the fan base yet again.
- Female moviegoers will likely be skipping this as part of any date night outing for Magic Mike XXL.
- Twitter activity pales in comparison to that of recent franchise revivals like X-Men: Days of Future Past, Godzilla, and Jurassic World.
- Simply put, Arnold's reputation has taken a major hit in recent years and not many outside the die hard fans are clamoring for another Terminator movie.
Magic Mike XXL
- The first film was one of summer 2012's surprise hits, earning almost $114 million domestically and solidifying Channing Tatum's star power.
- It's been a few weeks since female moviegoers had a choice targeted specifically to them. We expect most of that crowd from the original will return for the sequel.
- Facebook buzz is strong with nearly 2 million fans for the franchise.
- Losing Matthew McConaughey could hurt slightly, but the rest of the returning cast will probably make up for most of the difference.
- The first film had a fair balance of men and women turning out, but the former will likely opt for Terminator Genisys, Jurassic World, or other choices this holiday weekend.
- Reviews aren't as strong as they were for the first film.
Top 10 Forecast
BoxOffice projects this weekend's top ten will total approximately $154.65 million. That figure would represent a 34 percent increase from the same frame last year, whose top ten generated $115.3 million as July 4 fell on Friday (versus this year's Saturday).
Check out our complete weekend forecast in the table below.
|Title||Release Date||Distributor||Weekend||Domestic Total through Sunday, July 5|
|Inside Out (2015)||Jun 19, 2015||Disney
|Jurassic World||Jun 12, 2015||Universal
|Magic Mike XXL||Jul 1, 2015||Warner Bros.
|Terminator Genisys||Jul 1, 2015||Paramount
|Ted 2||Jun 26, 2015||Universal
|Max (2015)||Jun 26, 2015||Warner Bros.
|Spy (2015)||Jun 5, 2015||Fox
|San Andreas||May 29, 2015||Warner Bros. / New Line
|Me and Earl and the Dying Girl||Jun 12, 2015||Fox Searchlight
|Dope||Jun 19, 2015||Open Road
|Faith of Our Fathers||Jul 1, 2015||Pure Flix / Samuel Goldwyn
Phil Contrino, Daniel Garris, Alex Edghill, and Shawn Robbins contributed to this report.