Long Range Forecast: 'The Martian'

Featured Stories - on August 07, 2015 by BoxOffice Staff

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Matt Damon and Ridley Scott team up for The Martian, a new sci-fi flick based on a novel by Andy Weir. This week we take a closer look at the film's commercial prospects. 

The Martian
(Fox)

PROS:

- Andy Weir's book is very popular and is still selling well.
- When it comes to directing sci-fi flicks, Ridley Scott has an impressive track record.
- There have been some strong performers in the sci-fi genre over the last couple of years with Gravity and Interstellar standing out.

CONS:

- Matt Damon is pretty hit & miss at the box office.
- High expectations coming off Gravity and Interstellar could hurt it. 
-
Scott stumbled last year with Exodus: Gods and Kings.

Check out our predictions for this film and others in the table below.

Title Release Date Distributor Opening Weekend Cumulative
The Martian Oct 2, 2015 Fox
$46,000,000 $172,000,000
Everest Sep 25, 2015* Universal
$19,000,000 $55,000,000
Sicario Sep 25, 2015* Lionsgate
$9,000,000 $30,000,000
Hotel Transylvania 2 Sep 25, 2015 Sony / Columbia
$39,000,000 $128,000,000
The Green Inferno Sep 25, 2015 BH Tilt / High Top
$4,000,000 $8,000,000
The Intern Sep 25, 2015 Warner Bros.
$14,000,000 $48,000,000
Black Mass Sep 18, 2015 Warner Bros.
$20,000,000 $68,000,000
Maze Runner: The Scorch Trials Sep 18, 2015 Fox
$47,000,000 $130,000,000
Captive Sep 18, 2015 Paramount
$5,500,000 $14,000,000
The Perfect Guy Sep 11, 2015 Sony / Screen Gems
$15,000,000 $34,000,000
The Visit Sep 11, 2015 Universal
$12,000,000 $29,000,000
The Transporter Refueled Sep 4, 2015 EuropaCorp Films
$10,000,000 $23,000,000
A Walk in the Woods Sep 2, 2015 Broad Green Pictures
$3,300,000** $10,000,000
We Are Your Friends Aug 28, 2015 Warner Bros.
$14,000,000 $40,000,000
War Room Aug 28, 2015 Sony / TriStar
$7,000,000 $23,000,000
No Escape Aug 26, 2015 Weinstein Company
$5,000,000** $15,000,000
American Ultra Aug 21, 2015 Lionsgate
$10,000,000 $28,000,000
Sinister 2 Aug 21, 2015 Focus / Gramercy
$19,000,000 $42,000,000
Hitman: Agent 47 Aug 21, 2015 Fox
$7,000,000 $17,000,000





Straight Outta Compton Aug 14, 2015 Universal
$43,000,000 $117,000,000
The Man from U.N.C.L.E. Aug 14, 2015 Warner Bros.
$16,000,000 $46,000,000

*wide-opening after limited release on September 18
**3-day weekend 

Phil Contrino, Daniel Garris and Shawn Robbins contributed to this report.  

Tags: The Martian, predictions

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