Weekend Forecast: 'Straight Outta Compton' & 'The Man from U.N.C.L.E.'

Featured Stories - on August 12, 2015 by BoxOffice Staff

aug14pred.pngAugust rolls on with the anticipated release of the N.W.A. biopic and another classic television series adaptation.

Straight Outta Compton

PROS:

- N.W.A. remains a highly respected hip hop group nearly three decades on for their influence on both the music world and culture itself.
- Early reviews are excellent with the biopic scoring 88 percent on Rotten Tomatoes as of Wednesday morning.
- Social media activity is through the roof. The film has scored nearly 400,000 tweets in the past week alone -- a very rare occurrence for non-franchise films. Facebook growth is also strong with over 1.75 million fans.
- Recent real world events have reignited some of the same cultural conversations the group was known for bringing about.

CONS:

- The film could prove somewhat front-loaded given the group's considerable fan base, but that won't really matter since the budget for this type of film is definitely on the conservative side.
- The recent box office slump here at the end of summer is worth keeping in mind for any potential under-performance, but we're not betting on that happening.

The Man from U.N.C.L.E.

PROS:

- Director Guy Ritchie successfully adapted two takes on Sherlock Holmes, so he has some box office clout in addition to his own fan base and critical success.
- Adult audiences who've already checked out Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation may give this a shot.
- Henry Cavill has never been more recognizable to casual audiences than he is now thanks to his generally well-received turn as Superman in Man of Steel, plus buzz from the upcoming Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice.

CONS:

- Social media activity is sorely lacking. Tweet levels are far below Rogue Nation, Kingsman, and Spy; Facebook boasts a weak 85,000 fans.
- Despite his overall success, Ritchie isn't exactly a household name outside of movie fans. Nor is co-star Armie Hammer, for that matter.
- Reviews are modest, which in this box office climate (and up against strong competition in Compton) could be an unfortunate precursor to an under-performer.

Top 10 Forecast

We're projecting the top ten films this weekend will accumulate $126.5 million. That would mark a 1 percent improvement from the same frame last year, which totaled $125 million as Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles and Guardians of the Galaxy repeated atop the box office.

Check out our complete weekend forecast in the table below.

Title Release Date Distributor Weekend Domestic Total through Sunday, August 16
Straight Outta Compton Aug 14, 2015 Universal
$55,000,000 $55,000,000
Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation Jul 31, 2015 Paramount
$18,500,000 $140,500,000
The Man from U.N.C.L.E. Aug 14, 2015 Warner Bros.
$14,000,000 $14,000,000
The Gift (2015) Aug 7, 2015 STX Entertainment
$7,200,000 $24,500,000
Fantastic Four (2015) Aug 7, 2015 Fox
$7,000,000 $41,500,000
Vacation (2015) Jul 29, 2015 Warner Bros. / New Line
$6,000,000 $47,800,000
Ant-Man Jul 17, 2015 Disney
$5,000,000 $157,200,000
Ricki and the Flash Aug 7, 2015 Sony / TriStar
$4,800,000 $14,900,000
Minions Jul 10, 2015 Universal
$4,700,000 $312,800,000
Trainwreck Jul 17, 2015 Universal
$4,300,000 $98,600,000

Phil Contrino, Daniel Garris, Alex Edghill, and Shawn Robbins contributed to this report.

Tags: Straight Outta Compton, The Man from U.N.C.L.E., box office predictions

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