Weekend Forecast: 'Straight Outta Compton' & 'The Man from U.N.C.L.E.'
Featured Stories - on August 12, 2015 by BoxOffice Staff
August rolls on with the anticipated release of the N.W.A. biopic and another classic television series adaptation.
Straight Outta Compton
- N.W.A. remains a highly respected hip hop group nearly three decades on for their influence on both the music world and culture itself.
- Early reviews are excellent with the biopic scoring 88 percent on Rotten Tomatoes as of Wednesday morning.
- Social media activity is through the roof. The film has scored nearly 400,000 tweets in the past week alone -- a very rare occurrence for non-franchise films. Facebook growth is also strong with over 1.75 million fans.
- Recent real world events have reignited some of the same cultural conversations the group was known for bringing about.
- The film could prove somewhat front-loaded given the group's considerable fan base, but that won't really matter since the budget for this type of film is definitely on the conservative side.
- The recent box office slump here at the end of summer is worth keeping in mind for any potential under-performance, but we're not betting on that happening.
The Man from U.N.C.L.E.
- Director Guy Ritchie successfully adapted two takes on Sherlock Holmes, so he has some box office clout in addition to his own fan base and critical success.
- Adult audiences who've already checked out Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation may give this a shot.
- Henry Cavill has never been more recognizable to casual audiences than he is now thanks to his generally well-received turn as Superman in Man of Steel, plus buzz from the upcoming Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice.
- Social media activity is sorely lacking. Tweet levels are far below Rogue Nation, Kingsman, and Spy; Facebook boasts a weak 85,000 fans.
- Despite his overall success, Ritchie isn't exactly a household name outside of movie fans. Nor is co-star Armie Hammer, for that matter.
- Reviews are modest, which in this box office climate (and up against strong competition in Compton) could be an unfortunate precursor to an under-performer.
Top 10 Forecast
We're projecting the top ten films this weekend will accumulate $126.5 million. That would mark a 1 percent improvement from the same frame last year, which totaled $125 million as Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles and Guardians of the Galaxy repeated atop the box office.
Check out our complete weekend forecast in the table below.
|Title||Release Date||Distributor||Weekend||Domestic Total through Sunday, August 16|
|Straight Outta Compton||Aug 14, 2015||Universal
|Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation||Jul 31, 2015||Paramount
|The Man from U.N.C.L.E.||Aug 14, 2015||Warner Bros.
|The Gift (2015)||Aug 7, 2015||STX Entertainment
|Fantastic Four (2015)||Aug 7, 2015||Fox
|Vacation (2015)||Jul 29, 2015||Warner Bros. / New Line
|Ant-Man||Jul 17, 2015||Disney
|Ricki and the Flash||Aug 7, 2015||Sony / TriStar
|Minions||Jul 10, 2015||Universal
|Trainwreck||Jul 17, 2015||Universal
Phil Contrino, Daniel Garris, Alex Edghill, and Shawn Robbins contributed to this report.