Long Range Forecast: 'Ride Along 2' & '13 Hours'
Featured Stories - on November 20, 2015 by BoxOffice Staff
Ice Cube and Kevin Hart return in Universal's Ride Along 2, which will be released over the Martin Luther King Jr. holiday weekend. BoxOffice expects Ride Along 2 to follow in its predecessor's footsteps in route to a strong performance.
Paramount's 13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi will also be released over the MLK holiday weekend. While BoxOffice sees 13 Hours having a presence at the box office, we don't expect the Michael Bay directed action thriller to break out.
Ride Along 2 (Universal)
- Ride Along opened with a $48.6 million four-day take over Martin Luther King Jr. weekend back in 2014 and displayed healthy holding power throughout its run.
- With the success of Straight Outta Compton earlier this year, Ice Cube's popularity is even higher than it was when Ride Along was released.
- Early Twitter activity for the film has tended to trend very positive.
- Kevin Hart hasn't been able to duplicate the break-out success of Ride Along with follow ups such as About Last Night, Think Like a Man Too and The Wedding Ringer since then.
- As a sequel, it is unlikely holding power for Ride Along 2 will be as strong as it was for its predecessor.
13 Hours (Paramount)
- Similarly themed films such as Zero Dark Thirty, Lone Survivor and American Sniper have all excelled in recent years during the month of January.
- Michael Bay's following should provide at least a minor boost to the film's potential.
- The film is generating very steady activity on Twitter thus far, though a sizable percentage of that activity has been negative in tone.
- Audiences, regardless of politics, may not want to relive the 2012 Benghazi attack, especially after a relatively short amount of time.
- The film won't have the awards season prestige that Zero Dark Thirty and American Sniper both had.
- In addition to Ride Along 2, the film will also face significant competition from holdovers such as The Hateful Eight, The Revenant, and Star Wars: The Force Awakens.
Check out our complete long range forecast in the table below.
|Title||Release Date||Distributor||Opening Weekend||Cumulative|
|Ride Along 2||Jan 15, 2016||Universal||$50,000,000*||$118,000,000|
|13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi||Jan 15, 2016||Paramount||$22,000,000*||$60,000,000|
|The 5th Wave||Jan 15, 2016||Sony / Columbia||$16,000,000*||$37,000,000|
|Norm of the North||Jan 15, 2016||Lionsgate||$13,000,000*||$35,000,000|
|The Hateful Eight||Jan 8, 2016||Weinstein Company||$30,000,000||$110,000,000|
|The Revenant (2015)||Jan 8, 2016||Fox||$21,000,000||$90,000,000|
|The Forest||Jan 8, 2016||Focus / Gramercy||$9,000,000||$19,000,000|
|Joy||Dec 25, 2015||Fox||$20,000,000||$105,000,000|
|Daddy's Home||Dec 25, 2015||Paramount||$15,000,000||$70,000,000|
|Concussion (2015)||Dec 25, 2015||Sony / Columbia||$11,000,000||$55,000,000|
|Point Break (2015)||Dec 25, 2015||Warner Bros.||$10,000,000||$44,000,000|
|The Big Short||Dec 23, 2015||Paramount||$12,000,000||$65,000,000|
|Star Wars: The Force Awakens||Dec 18, 2015||Disney||$215,000,000||$762,000,000|
|Sisters||Dec 18, 2015||Universal||$11,000,000||$65,000,000|
|Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Road Chip||Dec 18, 2015||Fox||$10,000,000||$66,000,000|
|In the Heart of the Sea||Dec 11, 2015||Warner Bros.||$19,000,000||$64,000,000|
|Krampus||Dec 4, 2015||Universal||$10,000,000||$29,000,000|
|The Good Dinosaur||Nov 25, 2015||Disney||$59,000,000||$250,000,000|
|Creed||Nov 25, 2015||Warner Bros. / New Line||$24,000,000||$83,000,000|
|Victor Frankenstein||Nov 25, 2015||Fox||$11,500,000||$34,000,000|
* Indicates a four-day weekend.
Daniel Garris and Shawn Robbins contributed to this report.