Weekend Forecast: 'Krampus' & 'Mockingjay – Part 2'

Featured Stories - on December 02, 2015 by BoxOffice Staff

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After experiencing a very solid hold over Thanksgiving weekend, Lionsgate's The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 2 looks set to lead the weekend box office for a third consecutive frame. Last year's The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 1 fell 61 percent in its third weekend of release and BoxOffice expects Mockingjay - Part 2 to experience a similar percentage decline this weekend.

This weekend will also see Universal's Krampus enter the marketplace. BoxOffice expects the PG-13 horror film to finish a bit behind Disney's The Good Dinosaur and Warner's Creed for fourth place this weekend. That would represent a very solid start for the film, especially since Krampus may hold up better than usual for a horror film thanks to its holiday themes and December release date.

Krampus

PROS:

- The release date for Krampus is perfectly timed to take advantage of the holiday season, though opening in early December may deflate the film's debut.

- Universal is coming off the recent success of fellow PG-13 horror film The Visit. Krampus should appeal strongly to the same audiences that drove The Visit to a stronger than expected performance, especially with the same PG-13 rating.

- Krampus has been generating higher activity levels on Twitter than The Visit did in the days leading up to its release.

CONS:

- The weekend after Thanksgiving weekend is traditionally one of the toughest weekends of the year to open a new film in wide release.

- With Star Wars: The Force Awakens now only a couple weeks away, a part of the potential audience for Krampus may just decide to stay home after all.

- While the film has outpaced The Visit on Twitter, activity levels for Krampus have trailed the activity levels for both Unfriended and Crimson Peak in the days leading up to their respective releases.

Top 10 Forecast

BoxOffice projects this weekend's top ten films will total $92.5 million. That would represent a healthy 35.8 percent increase over the $68.1 million top ten total from the same weekend last year, which was led by the $22.0 million third weekend performance of The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 1 and saw Fox's The Pyramid debut with just $1.4 million in moderate release.

Check out our complete forecast in the table below.

 

Title Release Date Distributor Weekend Domestic Total Through Sunday, Dec 6
The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 2 Nov 20, 2015 Lionsgate $20,500,000 $229,300,000
The Good Dinosaur Nov 25, 2015 Disney $17,300,000 $77,900,000
Creed Nov 25, 2015 Warner Bros. / New Line $17,000,000 $66,900,000
Krampus Dec 4, 2015 Universal $14,500,000 $14,500,000
Spectre Nov 6, 2015 Sony / Columbia $6,000,000 $185,100,000
The Night Before Nov 20, 2015 Sony / Columbia $5,000,000 $32,100,000
The Peanuts Movie Nov 6, 2015 Fox $4,200,000 $122,100,000
Spotlight Nov 6, 2015 Open Road $3,000,000 $16,700,000
Brooklyn Nov 4, 2015 Fox Searchlight $2,800,000 $11,600,000
Secret in Their Eyes Nov 20, 2015 STX Entertainment $2,200,000 $17,500,000

Daniel Garris, Shawn Robbins and Alex Edghill contributed to this report.

Tags: The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 2, Krampus, box office predictions

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