Long Range Forecast: 'Neighbors'

on March 14, 2014

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BoxOffice adds Neighbors to our Long Range Forecast. Universal's raunchy comedy faces the daunting task of opening in between The Amazing Spider-Man 2 and Godzilla. Will it be up to it?

Neighbors
(Universal)

PROS:

- Reactions on Twitter/Facebook to the film's red-band trailer have been overwhelmingly positive.
- Early reviews out of SXSW show promise.
- Star Seth Rogen is on a roll following the healthy performance of This Is The End last year.
- Zac Efron's performance should shock audiences who still see him as a teen heartthrob, and you can't put a price on that kind of buzz.
- Never underestimate how well R-rated comedies can perform during the summer season. For example, look no further than the impressive runs that We're the Millers ($150.4 million domestic) and This Is The End ($101.5 million) managed last summer. 

CONS:

- As stated above, opening in between The Amazing Spider-Man 2 and Godzilla won't be easy for a flick that's bound to skew male
- College-themed comedies are notorious for objectifying women. As a result, key female demos may stay way from this one.

Check out our prediction for Neighbors and other films in the table below. 

Title Release Date Distributor First Weekend of Wide ReleaseCumulative
Neighbors (2014) May 9, 2014 Universal
$34,000,000 $126,000,000
Moms' Night Out May 9, 2014 Sony / AFFIRM
$6,000,000 $14,000,000
Chef May 9, 2014 Open Road
$10,000,000 $31,000,000
Legends of Oz: Dorothy's Return May 9, 2014 Clarius Entertainment
$4,000,000 $11,000,000
The Amazing Spider-Man 2 May 2, 2014 Sony / Columbia
$112,000,000 $265,000,000
Brick Mansions Apr 25, 2014 Relativity Media
$7,000,000 $16,000,000
The Other Woman (2014) Apr 25, 2014 Fox
$15,000,000 $45,000,000
The Quiet Ones Apr 25, 2014 Lionsgate
$10,000,000 $22,000,000
Transcendence Apr 18, 2014 Warner Bros.
$26,000,000 $76,000,000
Bears Apr 18, 2014 Disneynature
$7,000,000 $21,000,000
A Haunted House 2 Apr 18, 2014 Open Road
$14,000,000 $31,000,000
Heaven is for Real Apr 16, 2014 Sony / TriStar
$8,000,000* $27,000,000
Draft Day Apr 11, 2014 Lionsgate / Summit
$13,000,000 $37,000,000
Oculus Apr 11, 2014 Relativity Media
$12,000,000 $31,000,000
Rio 2 Apr 11, 2014 Fox
$41,000,000 $148,000,000
Noah Mar 28, 2014 Paramount
$41,000,000 $115,000,000
Sabotage (2014) Mar 28, 2014 Open Road
$7,000,000 $15,000,000
Bad Words Mar 28, 2014 Focus
$6,000,000 $22,000,000

*3-day weekend

Phil Contrino, Daniel Garris and Shawn Robbins contributed to this report.

Tags: predictions, Neighbors

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