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By Daniel Garris

Měi Rén Yú (The Mermaid) was off to a terrific start this weekend with an estimated $1.02 million from 35 locations, for a per-location average of $29,000. The Stephen Chow directed Mandarin-language fantasy comedy is the highest grossing film ever in China and looks like it's in store for a strong performance in North America (where it's being distributed by Sony). Chow's Kung Fu Hustle was also a strong performer in North America (for Sony Pictures Classics) back in 2005. That film launched in platform release with $269,225 from 7 locations (for a per-location average of $38,460), took in $6.75 million in its first weekend of wide release and ultimately finished with $17.11 million in North America. Sony currently plans to expand Měi Rén Yú (The Mermaid) into roughly 25 new locations next weekend.

Oscilloscope's Embrace of the Serpent was off to a good platform start with an estimated $50,165 from three locations in New York and Los Angeles. That gave the Academy Award nominee for Best Foreign Language Film from Colombia a per-location average of $16,722 for the frame. Embrace of the Serpent has grossed $61,374 in five days since debuting in New York on Wednesday. The film has received terrific critical reviews, as it currently boasts a 98 percent Tomatometer on Rotten Tomatoes. Oscilloscope plans to expand Embrace of the Serpent into roughly 20 new locations next weekend in the Bay Area and in the New York and Los Angeles suburbs.

Upon expanding into moderate release this weekend, Sony Pictures Classics' The Lady in the Van took in an estimated $1.50 million from 540 locations, for a per-location average of $2,780. The Nicholas Hytner directed film starring Maggie Smith was up 171 percent from last weekend, when the film was playing in 410 fewer locations. The Lady in the Van continues to have a solid platform run with $3.81 million in 38 days (and an additional one-week Oscar qualifying run back in early December).

Fox International Productions' Neerja was off to a nice start this weekend with an estimated $585,315 from 73 locations, for a per-location average of $8,018. The Hindi-language drama thriller starring Sonam Kapoor did open well below the $2.43 million debut of Kapoor's last film, last year's Prem Ratan Dhan Payo, though that film did have a significantly larger initial count of 287 locations.

Lionsgate and Pantelion's Busco Novio Para Mi Mujer debuted in moderate release with an estimated $900,000 from 357 locations, for a per-location average of $2,521. The Spanish-language romantic comedy starring Sandra Echeverría and Arath de la Torre delivered a modest opening weekend performance with Pantelion Films' previous box office standards in mind.

In its second weekend of release, Drafthouse Films' Where to Invade Next registered an estimated $560,210 from 275 locations, for a per-location average of $2,037. The Michael Moore directed documentary was down 38 percent from last weekend, though it should be noted that the film was playing in 33 fewer locations this weekend. Where to Invade Next has grossed $1.99 million in ten days. While that would be a good performance for most documentaries, the film is also on course to perform well below each of Moore's previous four films.

Estimated grosses for Academy Award Best Picture nominees currently in limited release this weekend included $875,000 for Paramount's The Big Short (from 432 locations), $728,000 for Fox Searchlight's Brooklyn (from 443 locations), $515,216 for Open Road's Spotlight (from 401 locations) and $417,702 for A24's Room (from 352 locations). Respective total grosses stand at $67.12 million for The Big Short, at $38.10 million for Spotlight, at $35.33 million for Brooklyn and at $12.67 million for Room.

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Sunday Update: Fox's Deadpool easily remained in first place at the box office this weekend with an estimated $55.0 million. The Ryan Reynolds led antihero film was down a sharp 58 percent from last weekend, as exceptional word of mouth wasn't enough to offset initial fan-driven front-loading. With that said, Deadpool held up better than 2014's X-Men: Days of Future Past, which fell 64 percent in its second weekend to gross $32.55 million. In general, X-Men universe films have tended to experience very sharp second weekend declines. In the bigger picture, the relatively modestly budgeted Deadpool has already grossed a massive $235.39 million in just ten days of release. That is a very impressive 45 percent stronger than the $162.02 million ten-day take of Days of Future Past (which also had the added advantage of higher priced 3D admissions; something that Deadpool doesn't have). Without taking into account ticket price inflation, Deadpool is already the highest grossing X-Men universe film of all-time domestically, as it has passed the $234.36 million total gross of 2006's X-Men the Last Stand.

Fellow Fox release Kung Fu Panda 3 held steady in a distant second place with an estimated $12.5 million. The 3D computer animated sequel from DreamWorks Animation was down a solid 37 percent from last weekend. Kung Fu Panda 3 has grossed $117.10 million through 24 days of release. That places Kung Fu Panda 3 14 percent behind the $136.81 million 24-day take of last year's Hotel Transylvania 2 (which fell 38 percent in its fourth weekend to gross a similar $12.65 million). Kung Fu Panda 3 is likely to hold up well next weekend, before taking a hit the following weekend from the arrival of Disney's Zootopia on March 4.

Risen was the weekend's top new release with an estimated third place debut of $11.8 million. The faith-based film from Sony's AFFIRM Films label starring Joseph Fiennes was off to a solid start, as it opened on the high end of expectations. Compared to previous films from AFFIRM Films, Risen opened 41 percent ahead of the $8.38 million debut of 2014's When the Game Stands Tall and 4 percent ahead of the $11.35 million start of last year's War Room. Due in part to the faith-based competition the film will be facing in March, it seems likely that Risen will display holding power more similar to When the Game Stands Tall than War Room, but that remains to be seen. Risen opened with $4.02 million on Friday (which included an estimated $425,000 from Thursday night shows), increased 10 percent on Saturday to gross $4.43 million and is estimated to decline 24 percent on Sunday to gross $3.36 million. That places the film's estimated opening weekend to Friday ratio at 2.94 to 1. Risen received a healthy A- rating on CinemaScore and has a very solid 80 percent Flixster audience score.

The Witch debuted in fourth place with an estimated $8.69 million. A24's low-budget R-rated horror film opened on the high end of expectations and performed very nicely with its price tag in mind. The Witch benefited from its strong critical reviews, as the film currently boasts an 88 percent Tomatometer on Rotten Tomatoes. However, The Witch doesn't appear to be going over anywhere near as well with moviegoers, as the film received a soft C- rating on CinemaScore and currently has a Flixster audience score of just 54 percent. Regardless of how well the film ultimately holds up going forward, The Witch generated a healthy opening weekend performance for A24 as the distributor's first traditional opening weekend wide release. The Witch opened with $3.29 million on Friday (which included an estimated $630,000 from Thursday night shows), increased 2 percent on Saturday to gross $3.37 million and is estimated to decline 40 percent on Sunday to gross $2.02 million. That gives the film an estimated opening weekend to Friday ratio of 2.64 to 1.

Warner's How to Be Single rounded out the weekend's top five with an estimated $8.22 million. The romantic comedy from New Line and MGM featuring Dakota Johnson was down 54 percent from last weekend. That represented a very respectable second weekend hold; especially given that last weekend's performance was inflated from Valentine's Day falling on Sunday. How to Be Single has grossed $31.76 million in ten days. That is towards the higher end of expectations and places the film 16 percent ahead of the $27.38 million ten-day start of 2009's Confessions of a Shopaholic (which fell 55 percent in its second weekend to gross $6.74 million).

Race debuted in sixth place with an estimated $7.28 million. Focus' Jesse Owens biopic opened a bit below its modest expectations and 34 percent below the $11.02 million start of McFarland, USA over the same weekend last year. Race opened with $2.37 million on Friday (which included an estimated $205,000 from Thursday night shows), was up a healthy 29 percent on Saturday to gross $3.07 million and is estimated to fall 40 percent on Sunday to gross $1.84 million. That places the film's estimated opening weekend to Friday ratio at 3.07 to 1. Race will hope to hold up well going forward thanks in part to skewing heavily towards older moviegoers (76 percent of the film's audiences was 25 years and older) and in part to strong early word of mouth (the film received a very promising A rating on CinemaScore and boasts a current Flixster audience score of 83 percent).

Meanwhile, Paramount's Zoolander 2 continued its disappointing run with an estimated seventh place take of $5.50 million. The PG-13 rated comedy sequel starring Ben Stiller and Owen Wilson was down a very sharp 60 percent from last weekend. Zoolander 2 has grossed just $23.72 million in ten days, which places the film an underwhelming 16 percent behind the unadjusted $28.34 million ten-day take of 2001's Zoolander (which fell 39 percent in its second weekend to gross $9.52 million). Zoolander 2 should continue to fall off quickly going forward due in part to poor word of mouth among moviegoers.

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Saturday Update: Fox reports that Deadpool grabbed another $16.225 million on Friday, down an expected 66 percent from opening day last week. Strong word of mouth and reviews continue to propel the Merc with a Mouth's unexpected blockbuster run as it now stands at an impressive eight-day domestic total of $196.6 million -- 34 percent ahead of the pace of Guardians of the Galaxy and 42 percent ahead of X-Men: Days of Future Past. We're projecting a huge sophomore frame around $56.1 million, which should send it past The LEGO Movie ($49.85 million) as the biggest second weekend by any film in February history.

Risen debuted in a healthy second place yesterday with an estimated $4.0 million, per Sony. This marks the latest faith-based success story for the studio following their success with War Room last year (which bowed to a near identical $4.05 million opening day in August). It also handily topped the $2.4 million opening day of 2014's Left Behind. Word of mouth is healthy with a reported "A-" CinemaScore and a solid 79 percent Flixster score. With Easter coming up in March, we expect strong legs on this one following what looks to be a weekend close to $11.5 million or higher (Sony is projecting $12.0 million).

A24's The Witch opened to a solid $3.2 million yesterday from 2,046 locations, giving it the highest per-theater average among wide releases not named Deadpool. The horror flick has been on the positive end of strong buzz for the past few months thanks to strong critical reviews (currently 88 percent on Rotten Tomatoes). Flixster reception seems more mixed at 59 percent, indicating some divisive reactions due to the controversial subject matter of the film. Still, this is definitely a positive debut for the film and first-time director Robert Eggers. Horror fans could conceivably drive the film to a fair multiplier in the long run. BoxOffice projects an opening weekend around $9 million.

Kung Fu Panda 3 took fourth place with $2.875 million on Friday, bringing its domestic haul up to $107.48 million. The animated sequel continues to play very well among families with positive word of mouth and reviews. BoxOffice projects a strong fourth weekend near $14.8 million.

How to Be Single filled out the top five with $2.685 million yesterday, down a healthy 49 percent from opening day last week. The Valentine's release is proving to remain a solid choice for date night crowds as it now stands at $26.2 million in all after eight days. Look for a sophomore weekend around $8.9 million.

Meanwhile, Race debuted with $2.344 million in sixth place on Friday, unfortunately coming in on the low end of pre-release expectations. Word of mouth (76 percent) and reviews (61 percent) are mixed, so long-term potential isn't strong at the moment. Opening weekend should ring up around $7.2 million.

Landing outside the top five, The Revenant tacked on another $955,000 for a new total of $162.3 million. The 12-time Oscar nominee is aiming for a weekend around $3.8 million. Last but not least, Star Wars: The Force Awakens should score another weekend of $4.1 million following $904,000 on Friday; its all-time record total now stands at a massive $918.7 million.

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Friday Update: Sources report that Thursday night's openers were led by A24's The Witch with an estimated $630,000 -- a very good start for the strongly reviewed horror film. By comparison, it bested The Forest's $520,000 start last month. With positive reviews and word of mouth from genre fans, The Witch may be looking at an impressive opening weekend north of $10-11 million if it plays out similar to recent horror films.

Risen bowed to $425,000 last night, marking the latest faith-based film to hit theaters. While that falls a bit shy of War Room's $600,000 last August, solid word of mouth and Easter next month could translate to strong legs.

Meanwhile, Race took in $205,000 last night. The Jesse Owens biopic came in slightly behind McFarland, USA's $260,000 last February.

Ultimately, Deadpool will easily win the weekend box office again following its stunning debut last week and strong reception since. We'll update with further analysis and weekend estimates on Saturday morning once the studios report official Friday estimates.

 

 

 

 

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Deadpool scored an additional $85.3 million from 74 overseas markets this weekend, lifting the international cume to $256.3 million and the global total to a whopping $491.7 million. Marvel’s raunchiest superhero spread to 17 new markets this frame including South Korea ($12.1 million — the biggest 18+ rated opening ever), Spain ($4.1M), Italy ($3.3M), and the UAE ($1.7M — biggest R rated opening of all-time). Other top market cumes include the UK ($36.9M), Australia ($18.9M), Russia ($17.6M), France ($16.8M), Germany ($14.4M), Mexico ($13.4M), and Brazil ($12.5M). Japan will be the final territory to open on June 3.

Stephen Chow’s comedy The Mermaid dominated Asian box office charts again this weekend taking in $58.6 million included $55.8 million in China. The Mermaid has grossed $419.4 million in just two weeks of release in China and is now the highest grossing movie of all-time there. Other top territories for the wacky eco-friendly rom-com are Malaysia ($5.8M), Vietnam ($3.3M), and Singapore ($2.3M). 

Disney’s Zootopia found $31.2 million overseas this weekend after expanding into five major territories, pushing the international total to $39.0 million ahead of its US opening on March 4. France’s $9.2 million debut represents the biggest opening ever for a Disney animated film in the country, while Mexico’s #1 $4.5 million bow was 25% bigger than Frozen’s opening. Other top markets include Spain ($5.9M), Italy ($2.8M), and South Korea ($2.5M). Zootopia opens in Sweden, Portugal, Iceland, Norway, Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand, Taiwan, and Ecuador next weekend.

Alvin & The Chipmunks: The Road Chip picked up $11.7 million in 52 markets this weekend. The animated sequel has made $131.1 million overseas and $215.6 million worldwide. Norway opened with $0.8 million.

How To Be Single grossed an estimated $10.9 million in 50 overseas territories this weekend, bringing the international total to $24.1 million and the worldwide total to $55.9 million. The Warner Bros’ comedy debuted in the UK with $2.7 million, Australia with $2.3 million and Mexico with $0.57 million. Brazil opens next weekend.

The Revenant added $8.6 million this weekend thanks to strong holds from Spain ($1.6M/$11.0M cume), the UK ($1.0M/$30.9M cume), and Germany ($1.0M/$24.6 million cume). The Oscar nominated survival tale has earned $216.5 million at the international box office and $381.6 million worldwide. France and India open next weekend.

Kung Fu Panda 3 rolled to $7.2 million this frame, lifting the overseas total to $177.1 million and the worldwide cume to $294.1 million. Panda has released in just 7 international markets so far.

Hail, Caesar! opened in 27 overseas markets grossing an estimated $5.8 million this weekend. The Coen brothers comedy has earned $31.9 million worldwide. Openings include France ($2.1M), Germany ($1.0M), and Spain ($0.875M). Hail, Caesar! opens in Australia, Hungary, Portugal, and Slovenia next weekend.

The Danish Girl rolled into 7 new overseas markets this weekend for an estimated $3.4 million and $38.3 million total. Italy bowed with $1.1 million and South Korea opened with $344K. The Universal drama has earned $49.0 million worldwide. Next weekend sees openings in Trinidad, Hong Kong, and Venezuela.

Goosebumps earned $3.2 million this weekend in 16 overseas markets pushing the international total to $73.4 million and the worldwide gross to $153.5 million. The UK increased 26% thanks to school holidays bringing its cume to $11.0 million.

The Force Awakens pulled $2.6 million from 25 overseas territories in its tenth weekend of release. The record breaking film has earned $1.1182B overseas (#4 all-time) and $2.039843B worldwide (#3 all-time).

The Martian unearthed $2.5 million in 5 markets with the bulk of that coming from Japan where the sci-fi saga took the top spot for a third consecutive weekend. The international cume stands at $391.8 million and the worldwide tally is now $620.1 million.

Films earning less than $2 million overseas this weekend and local language films

Neerja

Overseas Weekend: $4.6M

Overseas Total: $4.6M

Global Total: $5.2M

 

The 5th Wave

Overseas Weekend: $1.8M

Overseas Total: $68.8M

Global Total: $100.7M

Ride Along 2

Overseas Weekend: $1.5M

Overseas Total: $27.9M

Global Total: $114.4M

 

Election Day 2 (Russia)

Russia Weekend: $1.5M

Russia Total: $1.5M

 

Dad’s Army (UK/NZ)

Overseas Weekend: $1.4M

Overseas Total: $10.2M

 

Concussion

Overseas Weekend: $1.2M

Overseas Total: $9.4M

Global Total: $43.8M

 

Room

Overseas Weekend: $0.58M

Overseas Total: $1.2M

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By Daniel Garris

Fox's Deadpool took in $8.02 million on Thursday to dominate the daily box office for a seventh consecutive day. The blockbuster Ryan Reynolds led antihero film was down a reasonable 7 percent from Wednesday. Deadpool blew away pre-release expectations this week with a massive seven-day start of $180.39 million. That was 28 percent stronger than the $141.33 million seven-day take of 2006's X-Men: The Last Stand and a very impressive 39 percent stronger than the $129.47 million seven-day gross of 2014's X-Men: Days of Future Past. Clearly, Deadpool has successfully expanded beyond the typical X-Men fanbase with its performance thus far. Deadpool will obviously have no problem remaining in first place at the box office this weekend.

Fellow Fox release Kung Fu Panda 3 held steady in a distant second with $1.24 million. The 3D computer animated sequel from DreamWorks Animation was up 1 percent over Wednesday and up a healthy 22 percent over last Thursday. Kung Fu Panda 3 placed in second for the week with $30.34 million. That represented a 16 percent increase over the previous frame and brings the film's three-week total to $104.60 million. Kung Fu Panda 3 is currently running 16 percent behind the $124.16 million three-week gross of last year's Hotel Transylvania 2.

Warner's How to Be Single took in $1.12 million to remain in third place. The romantic comedy from New Line and MGM featuring Dakota Johnson was up an encouraging 4 percent over Wednesday. How to Be Single took third place this week with a solid seven-day start of $23.54 million. The film is performing in line with pre-release expectations and is running 14 percent ahead of the $20.64 million seven-day take of 2009's Confessions of a Shopaholic.

Zoolander 2 rounded out its lackluster first week of release with a fourth place take of $0.671 million. Paramount's PG-13 rated comedy sequel starring Ben Stiller and Owen Wilson declined a slim 1 percent from Wednesday. Zoolander 2 finished in fourth place this week with a softer than expected seven-day launch of $17.55 million. That was a disappointing 7 percent below the $18.82 million seven-day start of 2001's Zoolander.

Disney's Star Wars: The Force Awakens and Fox's The Revenant claimed fifth and sixth place with respective daily grosses of $0.480 million and $0.448 million. For the week, The Force Awakens placed in fifth with $9.16 million, while The Revenant followed in sixth with $9.05 million. Respective total grosses stand at a record setting $917.81 million for The Force Awakens and at an impressive $161.32 million for The Revenant.

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By Alex Edghill

Friday Morning Update: In what will likely be a common sign in the coming months X-Men: Apocalypse retained its weekly Twitter crown this past week with 232,369 tweets. It continues to blow X-Men: Days Of Future Past out of the water with its current hype which routinely sees it top 10,000 tweets a day. This is especially impressive considering that the film opens in 14 weeks from now. I do expect it to level off a bit in the coming weeks (its currently trending down) until its next trailer or substantial piece of news drops but what is very clear is that this is the most talked about of the new generation of X-Men movies on social media by a long ways, something which it should be able to translate into record-setting box office earnings for the mutant franchise.

After initially having a hard time with its sentiment and generating max-level super hero buzz, Batman vs. Superman: Dawn Of Justice has slowly come into its own over the past few weeks. Last week its 171,305 tweets were good enough for second place, equalling its best weekly finish to date. What is perhaps even more encouraging is that its positive to negative sentiment has improved dramatically since the first details of the film surfaced. Anything north of 10 to 1 was very scarce even a few months ago, but its overall average has slowly been creeping up which speaks to the more recent trailers and information about the film being much better received.

Zootopia had a very strong week also thanks to its premiere which generated strong interest amongst fans of the film and its stars. For an animated family film it has performed exceptionally well on Twitter, with equal or better the buzz levels attained by recent Pixar films (The Good Dinosaur had 18,899 the same week before its release while Inside Out had 34,453). The premiere undoubtedly inflated its numbers greatly but even taking that into account this appears to be a surprise mini-blockbuster waiting in the wings for Disney.

In other new Ghostbusters revealed its villain ahead of its promised March first trailer and that saw a nice bump in traffic. Also, The Divergent Series: Allegiant had a strong rise to 67,965 as its March 18th release date rapidly approaches. By comparison, Insurgent had 117,043 tweets the same week before release last year.

Twitter Top 10 Movies for the week of February 12th to February 18th

Date Movie Tweets Rank Change
5/27/16 X-Men: Apocalypse 232,369 1 (-) 54.78%
3/25/16 Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice 171,305 2 (+1) 85.70%
5/06/16 Captain America: Civil War 145,662 3 (-1) 53.62%
3/04/16 Zootopia 123,823 4 (+5) 315.95%
7/15/16 Ghostbusters (2016) 95,237 5 (+1) 171.56%
8/05/16 Suicide Squad 92,781 6 (-2) 80.30%
3/18/16 The Divergent Series: Allegiant 67,965 7 (+7) 343.95%
4/01/16 God's Not Dead 2 60,588 8 (+3) 153.53%
6/17/16 Finding Dory 49,133 9 (-4) 24.53%
6/03/16 Me Before You 45,791 10 (+2) 96.24%

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