Weekend Estimates: 'The Boss' ($23.48M) & 'Batman v Superman' ($23.44M) in Tight Race for First Place; 'Hardcore Henry' ($5.10M) Arrives SoftlyApril 10, 2016 09:42 AM

by Daniel Garris

It was an extremely close race between Universal's The Boss and Warner's Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice for first place this weekend. The Boss is currently estimated to come out ahead with $23.48 million, but with an estimated lead of only $45,000, either film could ultimately end up in first place this weekend.

Regardless of whether or not it ends up in first place this weekend, The Boss outpaced expectations and performed well with its modest price tag in mind. The Melissa McCarthy led R-rated comedy also proved to be critic-proof this weekend. The film's opening weekend performance was 9 percent ahead of the $21.58 million opening weekend of 2014's Tammy (though it should be noted that Tammy's opening weekend take was softened by a Wednesday debut) and 19 percent below the $29.09 million debut of last year's Spy (it should be noted that The Boss had been widely expected to open below Spy). With this weekend's performance of The Boss, McCarthy continues to remain one of the more consistent box office draws in recent years. McCarthy will next appear in Sony's Ghostbusters, which arrives on July 15.

The Boss started out with $8.11 million on Friday (which included an estimated $985,000 from Thursday night shows), increased a healthy 20 percent on Saturday to take in $9.73 million and is estimated to decline 42 percent on Sunday to gross $5.64 million. That gave the film an estimated opening weekend to Friday ratio of 2.90 to 1. The Boss skewed heavily toward female moviegoers (67 percent) and slightly towards moviegoers under the age of 35 (51 percent). Audience reception to The Boss appears to be lackluster as the film received a C+ rating on CinemaScore and current has a Flixster audience score of just 50 percent. With that in mind, it's quite possible that The Boss won't hold up as well going forward as McCarthy's previous hits have. On the other hand, the film's mentioned strong Saturday hold is an early encouraging sign.

After leading the box office for the past two weeks Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice fell to a close second place this weekend with an estimated $23.44 million. The blockbuster 3D superhero film starring Ben Affleck and Henry Cavill continued to fall off sharply, as the film was down 54 percent from last weekend. Batman v Superman is now on the verge of reaching the $300 million domestic mark with a 17-day take of $296.69 million. However, as a result of its soft holding power thus far, Batman v Superman is now running just 1 percent ahead of the $294.51 million 17-day take of last year's Furious 7 (which fell 51 percent in its third weekend to gross $29.16 million). With that in mind, Batman v Superman will soon fall behind the pace of Furious 7, especially with Disney's highly anticipated The Jungle Book entering the marketplace this coming Friday.

While Batman v Superman continued to decline sharply this weekend, Disney's Zootopia continued to display strong holding power with an estimated third place take of $14.35 million. The blockbuster 3D computer animated film was down just 26 percent from last weekend. Without taking into account ticket price inflation, Zootopia registered the eighth largest sixth weekend gross of all-time. Zootopia is also on the verge of reaching the $300 million domestic mark with a 38-day take of $296.01 million. The film is now running just 8 percent behind the $320.39 million 38-day take of last year's Inside Out and will continue to make up ground in that comparison going forward. Zootopia already has a current total gross to opening weekend ratio of 3.94 to 1.

Universal's My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 placed in fourth with an estimated $6.42 million. The PG-13 rated comedy sequel starring and written by Nia Vardalos was down 43 percent, as the film took a hit from the debut The Boss this weekend. My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 continues to perform towards the higher end of expectations with a 17-day take of $46.75 million. That places the film 6 percent behind the $49.59 million 17-day gross of last year's The Intern (which fell just 26 percent in its third weekend to take in $8.68 million). My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 will hope to re-stabilize next weekend with the debut of The Boss behind it.

Hardcore Henry rounded out the weekend's top five with an estimated $5.10 million. The low-budget action film from STX Entertainment opened below pre-release expectations and delivered a lackluster per-location average of $1,690 from just 3,015 locations. The trailer for Hardcore Henry had gone over well, especially online, but that reception ultimately failed to get moviegoers to see the film this weekend. Hardcore Henry delivered the lowest debut for STX Entertainment to date in the distributor's young history. The film opened with $2.01 million on Friday (which included an estimated $380,000 from Thursday night shows), declined a concerning 7 percent on Saturday to gross $1.87 million and is estimated to slide 35 percent on Sunday to take in $1.22 million. That places the film's estimated opening weekend to Friday ratio at a fairly front-loaded 2.54 to 1. Much like The Boss, Hardcore Henry doesn't appear to be going over all that well with moviegoers. Hardcore Henry also received a C+ rating on CinemaScore and has a respectable current Flixster audience score of 66 percent.

Faith-based films Miracles from Heaven and God's Not Dead 2 claimed sixth and seventh place with respective estimated takes of $4.80 million and $4.05 million. Sony's Miracles from Heaven was down a very solid 34 percent this weekend, while God's Not Dead 2 was down a sizable 47 percent. Miracles from Heaven passed the $50 million mark this weekend and continues to perform nicely with $53.81 million in 26 days. God's Not Dead 2 has been far less impressive with $13.84 million in ten days and clearly isn't duplicating the word of mouth or the performance of its predecessor, 2014's God's Not Dead, which grossed $21.75 million in its first ten days after falling just 4.5 percent in its second weekend to take in $8.80 million.

Weekend Actuals (Domestic) Fri, Dec. 7 - Sun, Dec. 9

Wide (1000+)

1Skyfall$10,780,201-35%3,401-62$3,170$261,400,2815Sony / Columbia
2Rise of The Guardians$10,400,618-22%3,639-33$2,858$61,774,1923Paramount / DreamWorks
3The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn - Part 2$9,156,265-47%3,646-362$2,511$268,691,0294Lionsgate / Summit
4Lincoln$8,916,813-33%2,014-4$4,427$97,137,4475Disney / DreamWorks
5Life of Pi$8,330,764-31%2,94618$2,828$60,948,2933Fox
6Playing For Keeps (2012)$5,750,288--2,837--$2,027$5,750,2881FilmDistrict
7Wreck-It Ralph$4,859,368-30%2,746-341$1,770$164,402,9346Disney
8Red Dawn (2012)$4,236,105-35%2,754-27$1,538$37,240,9203FilmDistrict
10Killing Them Softly$2,806,901-59%2,4240$1,158$11,830,6382Weinstein Company
11The Collection$1,487,655-52%1,4030$1,060$5,455,3282LD Entertainment
12End of Watch$751,6233209%1,2491225$602$39,989,76612Open Road

Limited (100 — 999)

1Silver Linings Playbook$2,171,665-30%3710$5,854$13,964,4054Weinstein Company
2Anna Karenina (2012)$1,544,859-31%42238$3,661$6,603,0424Focus
3Argo$1,482,345-26%944-99$1,570$103,160,0159Warner Bros.
4Hitchcock$712,54474%181131$3,937$1,661,6703Fox Searchlight
5Talaash$478,559-71%162-12$2,954$2,428,9192Reliance Entertainment
6Taken 2$387,227-17%430-66$901$137,700,30410Fox
7Pitch Perfect$305,765-21%387-16$790$63,517,40811Universal
8Khiladi 786$228,967--115--$1,991$228,9671Eros International
9The Sessions$218,973-34%197-29$1,112$4,948,3428Fox Searchlight
10Cloud Atlas$174,815-28%191-3$915$26,452,9717Warner Bros.
11Here Comes the Boom$143,911-36%234-100$615$42,556,7709Sony / Columbia
12The Perks of Being A Wallflower$138,498-35%175-14$791$16,858,39312Lionsgate / Summit
13Looper$135,413-32%232-48$584$66,146,08011Sony / TriStar
14Alex Cross$114,565120%214100$535$25,617,8978Lionsgate / Summit
15Hotel Transylvania$102,606-24%196-52$524$143,826,41211Sony / Columbia
16The Man With the Iron Fists$85,975-16%1817$475$15,522,0606Universal
17Seven Psychopaths$71,069-30%141-21$504$14,903,8859CBS Films
19The Odd Life of Timothy Green$60,246-21%132-15$456$51,687,65817Disney
20Son of Sardaar$4,573-75%1090$42$770,5944Eros International

Platform (1 — 99)

1The Polar Express (2012 re-issue)$113,77982%171$6,693$314,7673Warner Bros.
2Chasing Ice$102,401--57--$1,797$502,7805Submarine Deluxe
3A Werewolf Boy$85,033--19--$4,475$123,6342CJ Entertainment
4Hyde Park on Hudson$81,362--4--$20,341$81,3621Focus
5A Late Quartet$73,290-22%63-11$1,163$995,6426Entertainment One / RKO
6Finding Nemo 3D$70,812-7%74-5$957$40,846,69613Disney
7Back to 1942$56,604-46%18-2$3,145$212,4752China Lion Film
8Ice Age: Continental Drift$56,3559%90-12$626$160,953,22422Fox
9The Other Son$55,978-3%433$1,302$963,5917Cohen Media Group
11A Royal Affair$53,889-6%432$1,253$459,0875Magnolia Pictures
12Rust and Bone$52,059110%42$13,015$128,5443Sony Pictures Classics
13To the Arctic 3D$41,710-19%520$802$10,129,04334Warner Bros. / IMAX
15Searching For Sugar Man$36,822-21%42-11$877$2,893,91620Sony Pictures Classics
16Sinister$36,564-10%77-11$475$47,823,8549Lionsgate / Summit
17Hubble 3D$33,382-3%16-3$2,086$35,372,605143Warner Bros. / IMAX
19Fun Size$28,675-41%80-36$358$9,402,4107Paramount
20Hecho en Mexico$28,001-63%2614$1,077$121,4722Lionsgate / Pantelion
21The Central Park Five$27,622-17%103$2,762$123,3333IFC Films
22Chasing Mavericks$26,965-37%67-12$402$5,874,5707Fox
23Silent Hill: Revelation 3D$26,852-48%76-48$353$17,507,4397Open Road
24The Dark Knight Rises$24,331-40%62-18$392$448,130,64221Warner Bros.
25House at the End of the Street$24,240-45%68-40$356$31,588,93212Relativity Media
26Born to Be Wild 3D$24,056-40%300$802$21,475,92288Warner Bros. / IMAX
27Lay the Favorite$20,998--61--$344$20,9981RADiUS-TWC
28The Flat$20,789-15%17-2$1,223$418,7298IFC Films
29Trouble with the Curve$19,547-43%71-29$275$35,754,55512Warner Bros.
30Waiting for Lightning$19,537--11--$1,776$19,5371IDP/Samuel Goldwyn
31Deadfall (2012)$19,391--11--$1,763$19,3911Magnolia Pictures
32Paranormal Activity 4$17,904-31%48-22$373$53,745,4148Paramount
33Diary of a Wimpy Kid: Dog Days$17,845-21%47-5$380$48,984,79319Fox
34Smashed$15,928329%2914$549$356,9879Sony Pictures Classics
35Arbitrage$15,580-22%25-10$623$7,877,44113Roadside Attractions
36The Master$12,069-31%230$525$15,895,73913Weinstein Company
37Beware of Mr. Baker$10,349-15%10$10,349$36,5482SnagFilms
38Starlet$9,386-10%101$939$70,5685Music Box Films
40Deep Sea 3D$7,36146%40$1,840$45,172,289354Warner Bros. / IMAX
41Diana Vreeland: The Eye Has To Travel$7,176-47%153$478$928,15712IDP/Samuel Goldwyn
42Lost Angels: Skid Row Is My Home$7,039--1--$7,039$7,0391Cinema Libre
43The Big Picture (2012)$5,952-3%51$1,190$151,4579MPI Media
44Brooklyn Castle$5,490-10%40$1,373$183,7338Producers Distribution Agency
45Wagner & Me$4,891--2--$2,446$17,9471First Run Features
46This Must Be the Place$4,540-31%5-2$908$136,3396Weinstein Company
47The Waiting Room$4,390-62%4-1$1,098$168,11211International Film Circuit
48In Our Nature$4,378--1--$4,378$4,3781Cinedigm
49North Sea Texas$4,349--3--$1,450$16,2526Strand Releasing
50The Rabbi's Cat$4,301--1--$4,301$4,3011GKIDS
51California Solo$4,23824%21$2,119$5,0082Strand Releasing
52The House I Live In$4,215129%43$1,054$176,36810Abramorama
53The Loneliest Planet$3,685-32%6-4$614$123,1747IFC Films
54Under the Sea 3D$3,358-7%7-1$480$32,467,327200Warner Bros. / IMAX
55The Thieves$3,181-59%20$1,591$681,5549Well Go USA
56The Man Who Shook the Hand of Vicente Fernandez$3,099--1--$3,099$3,0991Indican Pictures
57The Intouchables$2,913-66%12-7$243$13,049,07829Weinstein Company
58Somewhere Between$2,768-2%1-1$2,768$171,36816Long Shot Factory
60Love, Marilyn$2,370--1--$2,370$6,9502Submarine Deluxe
61Keep the Lights On$1,951178%1-2$1,951$241,84214Music Box Films
62Masquerade (2012)$1,839-46%1-2$1,839$898,82812CJ Entertainment
63The Well-Digger's Daughter$1,637511%21$819$372,36021Kino Lorber
64Only the Young$1,446--1--$1,446$1,4461Oscilloscope
65Wake in Fright (2012 re-issue)$1,331272%31$444$46,37010Drafthouse Films
66Kumare$1,284-18%10$1,284$130,83625Kino Lorber
67The Imposter$1,209-43%20$605$901,95422Indomina Releasing
68Cheerful Weather for the Wedding$727--1--$727$7271IFC Films
69My Worst Nightmare$668--1--$668$7,9938Strand Releasing
70All Together$63839%10$638$37,2388Kino Lorber / Tribeca Film
71Chicken With Plums$586-23%4-3$147$253,70517Sony Pictures Classics
73Meet The Fokkens$447--1--$447$29,35718Kino Lorber
74Celeste and Jesse Forever$3662%20$183$3,094,68719Sony Pictures Classics
75Orchestra of Exiles$328--2--$164$24,7107First Run Features
76Escape Fire: The Fight To Rescue American Healthcare$189--2--$95$83,87610Roadside Attractions
77Alps$15233%10$152$15,95422Kino Lorber
78Free Radicals: A History of Experimental Film$74--1--$74$3,62719Kino Lorber