Weekend Estimates: 'The Boss' ($23.48M) & 'Batman v Superman' ($23.44M) in Tight Race for First Place; 'Hardcore Henry' ($5.10M) Arrives SoftlyApril 10, 2016 09:42 AM

by Daniel Garris

It was an extremely close race between Universal's The Boss and Warner's Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice for first place this weekend. The Boss is currently estimated to come out ahead with $23.48 million, but with an estimated lead of only $45,000, either film could ultimately end up in first place this weekend.

Regardless of whether or not it ends up in first place this weekend, The Boss outpaced expectations and performed well with its modest price tag in mind. The Melissa McCarthy led R-rated comedy also proved to be critic-proof this weekend. The film's opening weekend performance was 9 percent ahead of the $21.58 million opening weekend of 2014's Tammy (though it should be noted that Tammy's opening weekend take was softened by a Wednesday debut) and 19 percent below the $29.09 million debut of last year's Spy (it should be noted that The Boss had been widely expected to open below Spy). With this weekend's performance of The Boss, McCarthy continues to remain one of the more consistent box office draws in recent years. McCarthy will next appear in Sony's Ghostbusters, which arrives on July 15.

The Boss started out with $8.11 million on Friday (which included an estimated $985,000 from Thursday night shows), increased a healthy 20 percent on Saturday to take in $9.73 million and is estimated to decline 42 percent on Sunday to gross $5.64 million. That gave the film an estimated opening weekend to Friday ratio of 2.90 to 1. The Boss skewed heavily toward female moviegoers (67 percent) and slightly towards moviegoers under the age of 35 (51 percent). Audience reception to The Boss appears to be lackluster as the film received a C+ rating on CinemaScore and current has a Flixster audience score of just 50 percent. With that in mind, it's quite possible that The Boss won't hold up as well going forward as McCarthy's previous hits have. On the other hand, the film's mentioned strong Saturday hold is an early encouraging sign.

After leading the box office for the past two weeks Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice fell to a close second place this weekend with an estimated $23.44 million. The blockbuster 3D superhero film starring Ben Affleck and Henry Cavill continued to fall off sharply, as the film was down 54 percent from last weekend. Batman v Superman is now on the verge of reaching the $300 million domestic mark with a 17-day take of $296.69 million. However, as a result of its soft holding power thus far, Batman v Superman is now running just 1 percent ahead of the $294.51 million 17-day take of last year's Furious 7 (which fell 51 percent in its third weekend to gross $29.16 million). With that in mind, Batman v Superman will soon fall behind the pace of Furious 7, especially with Disney's highly anticipated The Jungle Book entering the marketplace this coming Friday.

While Batman v Superman continued to decline sharply this weekend, Disney's Zootopia continued to display strong holding power with an estimated third place take of $14.35 million. The blockbuster 3D computer animated film was down just 26 percent from last weekend. Without taking into account ticket price inflation, Zootopia registered the eighth largest sixth weekend gross of all-time. Zootopia is also on the verge of reaching the $300 million domestic mark with a 38-day take of $296.01 million. The film is now running just 8 percent behind the $320.39 million 38-day take of last year's Inside Out and will continue to make up ground in that comparison going forward. Zootopia already has a current total gross to opening weekend ratio of 3.94 to 1.

Universal's My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 placed in fourth with an estimated $6.42 million. The PG-13 rated comedy sequel starring and written by Nia Vardalos was down 43 percent, as the film took a hit from the debut The Boss this weekend. My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 continues to perform towards the higher end of expectations with a 17-day take of $46.75 million. That places the film 6 percent behind the $49.59 million 17-day gross of last year's The Intern (which fell just 26 percent in its third weekend to take in $8.68 million). My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 will hope to re-stabilize next weekend with the debut of The Boss behind it.

Hardcore Henry rounded out the weekend's top five with an estimated $5.10 million. The low-budget action film from STX Entertainment opened below pre-release expectations and delivered a lackluster per-location average of $1,690 from just 3,015 locations. The trailer for Hardcore Henry had gone over well, especially online, but that reception ultimately failed to get moviegoers to see the film this weekend. Hardcore Henry delivered the lowest debut for STX Entertainment to date in the distributor's young history. The film opened with $2.01 million on Friday (which included an estimated $380,000 from Thursday night shows), declined a concerning 7 percent on Saturday to gross $1.87 million and is estimated to slide 35 percent on Sunday to take in $1.22 million. That places the film's estimated opening weekend to Friday ratio at a fairly front-loaded 2.54 to 1. Much like The Boss, Hardcore Henry doesn't appear to be going over all that well with moviegoers. Hardcore Henry also received a C+ rating on CinemaScore and has a respectable current Flixster audience score of 66 percent.

Faith-based films Miracles from Heaven and God's Not Dead 2 claimed sixth and seventh place with respective estimated takes of $4.80 million and $4.05 million. Sony's Miracles from Heaven was down a very solid 34 percent this weekend, while God's Not Dead 2 was down a sizable 47 percent. Miracles from Heaven passed the $50 million mark this weekend and continues to perform nicely with $53.81 million in 26 days. God's Not Dead 2 has been far less impressive with $13.84 million in ten days and clearly isn't duplicating the word of mouth or the performance of its predecessor, 2014's God's Not Dead, which grossed $21.75 million in its first ten days after falling just 4.5 percent in its second weekend to take in $8.80 million.

Weekend Actuals (Domestic) Fri, Dec. 29 - Sun, Dec. 31

Wide (1000+)

1Star Wars: The Last Jedi$52,520,140-27%4,2320$12,410$517,218,3683Disney
2Jumanji: Welcome To The Jungle$50,051,36438%3,7650$13,294$169,002,5572Sony / Columbia
3Pitch Perfect 3$16,810,135-16%3,46821$4,847$63,300,6052Universal
4The Greatest Showman$15,520,73276%3,316310$4,681$49,036,7182Fox
7All the Money in the World$5,584,684--2,074--$2,693$12,712,3801Sony / TriStar
9Father Figures$3,821,36516%2,9020$1,317$12,885,2872Warner Bros.
10Wonder (2017)$3,250,42964%1,19363$2,725$121,559,2947Lionsgate
11Justice League$1,197,32912%1,215114$985$225,546,2957Warner Bros.

Limited (100 — 999)

1Darkest Hour$5,485,57041%943137$5,817$18,132,8576Focus Features
2The Shape of Water$3,530,02218%75630$4,669$15,670,1775Fox Searchlight
3Molly's Game$2,349,967--271--$8,671$5,377,4801STX Entertainment
4Lady Bird$1,466,45147%392-10$3,741$31,432,4639A24
5Daddy's Home 2$936,0000%770-303$1,216$101,805,8078Paramount
6The Disaster Artist$932,9935%507-10$1,840$17,861,7955New Line / A24
7Tiger Zinda Hai$921,090-48%284-15$3,243$4,572,2312Yash Raj Films USA Inc.
8Thor: Ragnarok$854,9113%540-161$1,583$311,225,1509Disney
9Call Me by Your Name$747,0910%1151$6,496$4,655,8556Sony Pictures Classics
10Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri$675,54529%266-41$2,540$24,164,62912Fox Searchlight
11Murder on the Orient Express (2017)$616,57519%391-56$1,577$100,619,6248Fox
12The Star$484,896-69%661-445$734$39,963,9497Sony / Columbia
13A Bad Moms Christmas$158,0564%214-61$739$71,891,9889STX Entertainment
14The Man Who Invented Christmas$67,190-43%1460$460$5,502,1276Bleecker Street
15Geostorm$55,42470%1100$504$33,578,78211Warner Bros.

Platform (1 — 99)

1I, Tonya$655,48151%497$13,377$2,433,4624Neon
2The Post$561,0807%90$62,342$1,760,121220th Century Fox
3Phantom Thread$216,495--4--$54,124$527,8401Focus Features
4Youth$199,331-38%351$5,695$1,579,7153China Lion Film
5Along With the Gods: The Two Worlds$193,2964%170$11,370$641,8752Well Go USA
6Ex-File 3 (Qian Ren 3)$125,291--21--$5,966$125,2911China Lion Film
7Loving Vincent$68,38528%550$1,243$6,252,74315Good Deed Entertainment
8The Florida Project$50,41272%33-10$1,528$5,297,29913A24
9Blade Runner 2049$46,83848%750$625$91,654,51213Warner Bros.
10Only The Brave$42,35892%860$493$18,181,28811Sony Pictures
11Wonder Wheel$36,581-53%55-58$665$1,306,6065Amazon
12Film Stars Don't Die in Liverpool$34,532--4--$8,633$34,5321Sony Pictures Classics
13Hostiles$33,45346%52$6,691$85,7462Entertainment Studios Motion Pictures
15The Square$22,10718%15-2$1,474$1,223,42610Magnolia Pictures
16Just Getting Started$15,273-31%15-33$1,018$6,036,9974Broad Green
17The Other Side Of Hope$14,076183%62$2,346$140,5815Janus Films
18Happy End$13,799-40%30$4,600$58,4582Sony Pictures Classics
19Victoria & Abdul$13,470104%23-1$586$22,233,28515Focus Features
20Faces Places$11,57084%82$1,446$604,76413Cohen Media Group
21Same Kind of Different as Me$11,54582%40-5$289$6,394,00611Pure Flix Entertainment
22Roman J. Israel, Esq.$11,512-28%33-16$349$11,851,2747Sony Pictures
23Marshall$10,593-4%50-8$212$9,468,31812Open Road
24In The Fade$10,455--3--$3,485$16,0791Magnolia Pictures
25Big Sonia$9,85725%1-2$9,857$113,6047Argot Pictures
26Kingsman: The Golden Circle$8,2179%32-25$257$100,227,03915Fox
27Bombshell: The Hedy Lamarr Story$7,240--5--$1,448$154,6906Zeitgeist
28Island of Lemurs: Madagascar$6,78429%21$3,392$11,062,309196Warner Bros. / IMAX
29Hubble 3D$6,51591%1-1$6,515$51,975,889407Warner Bros. / IMAX
301945$5,911-34%4-2$1,478$241,2399Menemsha Films
31Under the Sea 3D$5,279142%3-1$1,760$35,676,680464Warner Bros. / IMAX
32The Breadwinner$3,66123%100$366$220,3077GKIDS
33My Friend Dahmer$3,386223%2-1$1,693$1,296,6399FilmRise
34Tom of Finland$2,990--4--$748$307,95512Kino Lorber
35Quest (2017)$2,805--2--$1,403$36,5945First Run Features
36The Thousand Faces of Dunjia$2,783-75%2-2$1,392$121,0563Well Go USA Entertainment
37God's Own Country$2,58636%41$647$313,34410Orion Pictures / Samuel Goldwyn Films
38Let There Be Light$2,416-33%80$302$7,208,08810Atlas
39The Lucky Man$2,254-55%2-1$1,127$9,7942Indican Pictures
40Novitiate$1,815-16%6-2$303$565,68710Sony Pictures Classics
41Thelma$1,403-33%6-3$234$132,0118The Orchard
42On the Beach at Night Alone$1,318--3--$439$30,4137Cinema Guild
43Permanent$1,032166%2-1$516$11,1983Magnolia Pictures
44Journey to the South Pacific$1,005198%10$1,005$7,620,948214IMAX / MacGillivray Freeman
45The Fencer$3116%10$311$94,15724CFI Releasing
46The Paris Opera$90-88%1-1$90$52,71611Film Movement