Weekend Estimates: 'The Boss' ($23.48M) & 'Batman v Superman' ($23.44M) in Tight Race for First Place; 'Hardcore Henry' ($5.10M) Arrives SoftlyApril 10, 2016 09:42 AM

by Daniel Garris

It was an extremely close race between Universal's The Boss and Warner's Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice for first place this weekend. The Boss is currently estimated to come out ahead with $23.48 million, but with an estimated lead of only $45,000, either film could ultimately end up in first place this weekend.

Regardless of whether or not it ends up in first place this weekend, The Boss outpaced expectations and performed well with its modest price tag in mind. The Melissa McCarthy led R-rated comedy also proved to be critic-proof this weekend. The film's opening weekend performance was 9 percent ahead of the $21.58 million opening weekend of 2014's Tammy (though it should be noted that Tammy's opening weekend take was softened by a Wednesday debut) and 19 percent below the $29.09 million debut of last year's Spy (it should be noted that The Boss had been widely expected to open below Spy). With this weekend's performance of The Boss, McCarthy continues to remain one of the more consistent box office draws in recent years. McCarthy will next appear in Sony's Ghostbusters, which arrives on July 15.

The Boss started out with $8.11 million on Friday (which included an estimated $985,000 from Thursday night shows), increased a healthy 20 percent on Saturday to take in $9.73 million and is estimated to decline 42 percent on Sunday to gross $5.64 million. That gave the film an estimated opening weekend to Friday ratio of 2.90 to 1. The Boss skewed heavily toward female moviegoers (67 percent) and slightly towards moviegoers under the age of 35 (51 percent). Audience reception to The Boss appears to be lackluster as the film received a C+ rating on CinemaScore and current has a Flixster audience score of just 50 percent. With that in mind, it's quite possible that The Boss won't hold up as well going forward as McCarthy's previous hits have. On the other hand, the film's mentioned strong Saturday hold is an early encouraging sign.

After leading the box office for the past two weeks Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice fell to a close second place this weekend with an estimated $23.44 million. The blockbuster 3D superhero film starring Ben Affleck and Henry Cavill continued to fall off sharply, as the film was down 54 percent from last weekend. Batman v Superman is now on the verge of reaching the $300 million domestic mark with a 17-day take of $296.69 million. However, as a result of its soft holding power thus far, Batman v Superman is now running just 1 percent ahead of the $294.51 million 17-day take of last year's Furious 7 (which fell 51 percent in its third weekend to gross $29.16 million). With that in mind, Batman v Superman will soon fall behind the pace of Furious 7, especially with Disney's highly anticipated The Jungle Book entering the marketplace this coming Friday.

While Batman v Superman continued to decline sharply this weekend, Disney's Zootopia continued to display strong holding power with an estimated third place take of $14.35 million. The blockbuster 3D computer animated film was down just 26 percent from last weekend. Without taking into account ticket price inflation, Zootopia registered the eighth largest sixth weekend gross of all-time. Zootopia is also on the verge of reaching the $300 million domestic mark with a 38-day take of $296.01 million. The film is now running just 8 percent behind the $320.39 million 38-day take of last year's Inside Out and will continue to make up ground in that comparison going forward. Zootopia already has a current total gross to opening weekend ratio of 3.94 to 1.

Universal's My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 placed in fourth with an estimated $6.42 million. The PG-13 rated comedy sequel starring and written by Nia Vardalos was down 43 percent, as the film took a hit from the debut The Boss this weekend. My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 continues to perform towards the higher end of expectations with a 17-day take of $46.75 million. That places the film 6 percent behind the $49.59 million 17-day gross of last year's The Intern (which fell just 26 percent in its third weekend to take in $8.68 million). My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 will hope to re-stabilize next weekend with the debut of The Boss behind it.

Hardcore Henry rounded out the weekend's top five with an estimated $5.10 million. The low-budget action film from STX Entertainment opened below pre-release expectations and delivered a lackluster per-location average of $1,690 from just 3,015 locations. The trailer for Hardcore Henry had gone over well, especially online, but that reception ultimately failed to get moviegoers to see the film this weekend. Hardcore Henry delivered the lowest debut for STX Entertainment to date in the distributor's young history. The film opened with $2.01 million on Friday (which included an estimated $380,000 from Thursday night shows), declined a concerning 7 percent on Saturday to gross $1.87 million and is estimated to slide 35 percent on Sunday to take in $1.22 million. That places the film's estimated opening weekend to Friday ratio at a fairly front-loaded 2.54 to 1. Much like The Boss, Hardcore Henry doesn't appear to be going over all that well with moviegoers. Hardcore Henry also received a C+ rating on CinemaScore and has a respectable current Flixster audience score of 66 percent.

Faith-based films Miracles from Heaven and God's Not Dead 2 claimed sixth and seventh place with respective estimated takes of $4.80 million and $4.05 million. Sony's Miracles from Heaven was down a very solid 34 percent this weekend, while God's Not Dead 2 was down a sizable 47 percent. Miracles from Heaven passed the $50 million mark this weekend and continues to perform nicely with $53.81 million in 26 days. God's Not Dead 2 has been far less impressive with $13.84 million in ten days and clearly isn't duplicating the word of mouth or the performance of its predecessor, 2014's God's Not Dead, which grossed $21.75 million in its first ten days after falling just 4.5 percent in its second weekend to take in $8.80 million.

Weekend Actuals (Domestic) Fri, Feb. 9 - Sun, Feb. 11

Wide (1000+)

1Fifty Shades Freed$38,560,195--3,768--$10,234$38,560,1951Universal
2Peter Rabbit$25,010,928--3,725--$6,714$25,010,9281Sony / Columbia
3The 15:17 to Paris$12,554,286--3,042--$4,127$12,554,2861Warner Bros.
4Jumanji: Welcome To The Jungle$10,023,344-8%3,136-216$3,196$365,855,2158Sony / Columbia
5The Greatest Showman$6,443,343-16%2,373-215$2,715$146,579,2138Fox
6Maze Runner: The Death Cure$6,222,303-41%2,923-870$2,129$49,240,4323Fox
7Winchester$5,211,217-44%2,4800$2,101$17,338,5752Lionsgate / CBS Films
8The Post$3,631,998-30%1,865-597$1,947$72,968,518820th Century Fox
9The Shape of Water$3,177,255-29%1,780-561$1,785$49,942,94611Fox Searchlight
10Den of Thieves$2,999,379-34%1,468-644$2,043$41,070,7024STX Entertainment
11Hostiles$2,824,754-45%2,214-720$1,276$26,022,2228Entertainment Studios Motion Pictures
1212 Strong$2,743,248-42%1,901-1017$1,443$42,013,4274Warner Bros.
13Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri$2,302,015-24%1,273-453$1,808$45,446,82118Fox Searchlight
14I, Tonya$1,671,331-32%1,088-362$1,536$25,348,35610Neon
15Darkest Hour$1,604,995-32%1,045-441$1,536$51,485,08712Focus Features
16Paddington 2$1,301,101-60%1,429-959$910$38,533,4655Warner Bros.
17Forever My Girl$1,239,673-46%1,088-339$1,139$14,578,9924Roadside Attractions/LD Entertainment

Limited (100 — 999)

1Star Wars: The Last Jedi$1,397,413-40%830-637$1,684$616,833,6929Disney
2Phantom Thread$1,205,825-43%558-628$2,161$16,403,9197Focus Features
3La Boda de Valentina$1,147,073--331--$3,465$1,147,0731Lionsgate / Pantelion
5Lady Bird$902,741-31%651-458$1,387$45,205,59715A24
7Pad Man$740,313--152--$4,870$740,3131Sony Pictures Releasing International
82018 Oscar Nominated Short Films$695,044--198--$3,510$695,0441Magnolia Pictures
9Call Me by Your Name$675,269-24%475-106$1,422$13,937,40512Sony Pictures Classics
10Insidious: The Last Key$596,055-59%545-708$1,094$66,768,0756Universal
11The Commuter$575,770-65%590-904$976$35,541,6345Lionsgate
12Molly's Game$453,901-42%537-306$845$27,906,6047STX Entertainment
14Wonder (2017)$279,88619%2615$1,072$131,328,23613Lionsgate
15Pitch Perfect 3$257,980-67%317-634$814$104,388,0158Universal
16Proud Mary$226,265-59%211-302$1,072$20,604,5765Sony / Screen Gems
17Thor: Ragnarok$225,071-8%173-31$1,301$314,316,29615Disney
18Justice League$170,569-12%188-14$907$228,561,66213Warner Bros.
19Daddy's Home 2$84,973-12%112-13$759$103,996,84214Paramount

Platform (1 — 99)

1The Insult$110,1220%5013$2,202$455,6095Cohen Media Group
2A Fantastic Woman$109,48170%2015$5,474$220,8202Sony Pictures Classics
3Bilal: A New Breed of Hero$73,595-76%9060$818$458,8292Vertical Entertainment
4All the Money in the World$58,775-54%63-91$933$24,885,2197Sony / TriStar
5Film Stars Don't Die in Liverpool$56,95610%395$1,460$392,6907Sony Pictures Classics
6Murder on the Orient Express (2017)$49,652-31%94-40$528$102,726,66014Fox
7The Florida Project$30,674-35%32-6$959$5,791,26019A24
8The Disaster Artist$28,774-43%31-34$928$21,064,08011New Line / A24
9Loving Vincent$23,22615%262$893$6,647,95721Good Deed Entertainment
10In The Fade$22,992-45%26-7$884$246,4297Magnolia Pictures
11Father Figures$22,147-33%62-28$357$17,490,0088Warner Bros.
12Faces Places$21,479-31%14-7$1,534$812,27519Cohen Media Group
13Mary and The Witch's Flower$21,331-58%15-15$1,422$1,933,0164GKIDS
14Till the End of the World$18,528-68%12-15$1,544$102,8882China Lion Film
15Along With the Gods: The Two Worlds$16,694-51%3-8$5,565$1,894,7858Well Go USA
16Get Out$15,530-67%52-82$299$176,026,22051Universal
17Happy End$15,40612%205$770$245,0378Sony Pictures Classics
18The Star$14,726-49%50-22$295$40,847,99513Sony / Columbia
19Golden Exits$11,719--1--$11,719$11,7191Vertical Entertainment
20The Square$11,570-40%11-8$1,052$1,445,67416Magnolia Pictures
21Before We Vanish$9,79817%53$1,960$26,6992Super LTD
22Big Sonia$8,250189%10$8,250$170,78513Argot Pictures
23The Breadwinner$8,068-33%100$807$287,77413GKIDS
24The Female Brain$6,886--2--$3,443$6,8861IFC Films
25Have A Nice Day$5,876-47%43$1,469$41,7603Strand Releasing
26Bombshell: The Hedy Lamarr Story$5,51312%4-2$1,378$264,82112Zeitgeist
2724 Frames$4,199-48%21$2,100$18,3042Janus Films
28A Ciambra$2,318-50%50$464$29,8124IFC Films
29Roman J. Israel, Esq.$2,176-50%6-4$363$11,961,10513Sony Pictures
31In Between$2,142-59%3-2$714$54,0656Film Movement
32Beuys$2,025-66%1-3$2,025$43,0524Kino Lorber
33The Final Year$1,858-89%3-17$619$182,2174Magnolia Pictures
34Tom of Finland$1,758-72%20$879$359,60318Kino Lorber
35Django$1,165-71%2-3$583$52,6926Under The Milky Way
36My Friend Dahmer$1,138-62%1-1$1,138$1,353,77415FilmRise
37Memories of Underdevelopment$1,08916%10$1,089$29,2455Janus Films
38Novitiate$900-8%31$300$580,34616Sony Pictures Classics
39The Other Side Of Hope$73015%10$730$183,85311Janus Films
40Porto$648279%10$648$14,99513Kino Lorber
41God's Own Country$621-30%10$621$332,22016Orion Pictures / Samuel Goldwyn Films
42Monster Family$576--10--$58$5761Viva Pictres
43BPM (Beats Per Minute)$542-89%2-3$271$111,37717The Orchard
441945$460-69%10$460$279,43215Menemsha Films
45Please Stand By$410-59%1-1$410$8,1343Magnolia Pictures
46Like Me$280-86%1-3$280$12,9653Kino Lorber
47Vazante$200-89%2-3$100$17,7745Music Box Films
48Bob Le Flambeur$185--1--$185$9,4076Rialto Pictures
49Thelma$61-92%10$61$146,18814The Orchard
50Legend of the Mountain (2018 re-release)$58--1--$58$3,3332Kino Lorber