Weekend Estimates: 'The Boss' ($23.48M) & 'Batman v Superman' ($23.44M) in Tight Race for First Place; 'Hardcore Henry' ($5.10M) Arrives SoftlyApril 10, 2016 09:42 AM

by Daniel Garris

It was an extremely close race between Universal's The Boss and Warner's Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice for first place this weekend. The Boss is currently estimated to come out ahead with $23.48 million, but with an estimated lead of only $45,000, either film could ultimately end up in first place this weekend.

Regardless of whether or not it ends up in first place this weekend, The Boss outpaced expectations and performed well with its modest price tag in mind. The Melissa McCarthy led R-rated comedy also proved to be critic-proof this weekend. The film's opening weekend performance was 9 percent ahead of the $21.58 million opening weekend of 2014's Tammy (though it should be noted that Tammy's opening weekend take was softened by a Wednesday debut) and 19 percent below the $29.09 million debut of last year's Spy (it should be noted that The Boss had been widely expected to open below Spy). With this weekend's performance of The Boss, McCarthy continues to remain one of the more consistent box office draws in recent years. McCarthy will next appear in Sony's Ghostbusters, which arrives on July 15.

The Boss started out with $8.11 million on Friday (which included an estimated $985,000 from Thursday night shows), increased a healthy 20 percent on Saturday to take in $9.73 million and is estimated to decline 42 percent on Sunday to gross $5.64 million. That gave the film an estimated opening weekend to Friday ratio of 2.90 to 1. The Boss skewed heavily toward female moviegoers (67 percent) and slightly towards moviegoers under the age of 35 (51 percent). Audience reception to The Boss appears to be lackluster as the film received a C+ rating on CinemaScore and current has a Flixster audience score of just 50 percent. With that in mind, it's quite possible that The Boss won't hold up as well going forward as McCarthy's previous hits have. On the other hand, the film's mentioned strong Saturday hold is an early encouraging sign.

After leading the box office for the past two weeks Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice fell to a close second place this weekend with an estimated $23.44 million. The blockbuster 3D superhero film starring Ben Affleck and Henry Cavill continued to fall off sharply, as the film was down 54 percent from last weekend. Batman v Superman is now on the verge of reaching the $300 million domestic mark with a 17-day take of $296.69 million. However, as a result of its soft holding power thus far, Batman v Superman is now running just 1 percent ahead of the $294.51 million 17-day take of last year's Furious 7 (which fell 51 percent in its third weekend to gross $29.16 million). With that in mind, Batman v Superman will soon fall behind the pace of Furious 7, especially with Disney's highly anticipated The Jungle Book entering the marketplace this coming Friday.

While Batman v Superman continued to decline sharply this weekend, Disney's Zootopia continued to display strong holding power with an estimated third place take of $14.35 million. The blockbuster 3D computer animated film was down just 26 percent from last weekend. Without taking into account ticket price inflation, Zootopia registered the eighth largest sixth weekend gross of all-time. Zootopia is also on the verge of reaching the $300 million domestic mark with a 38-day take of $296.01 million. The film is now running just 8 percent behind the $320.39 million 38-day take of last year's Inside Out and will continue to make up ground in that comparison going forward. Zootopia already has a current total gross to opening weekend ratio of 3.94 to 1.

Universal's My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 placed in fourth with an estimated $6.42 million. The PG-13 rated comedy sequel starring and written by Nia Vardalos was down 43 percent, as the film took a hit from the debut The Boss this weekend. My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 continues to perform towards the higher end of expectations with a 17-day take of $46.75 million. That places the film 6 percent behind the $49.59 million 17-day gross of last year's The Intern (which fell just 26 percent in its third weekend to take in $8.68 million). My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 will hope to re-stabilize next weekend with the debut of The Boss behind it.

Hardcore Henry rounded out the weekend's top five with an estimated $5.10 million. The low-budget action film from STX Entertainment opened below pre-release expectations and delivered a lackluster per-location average of $1,690 from just 3,015 locations. The trailer for Hardcore Henry had gone over well, especially online, but that reception ultimately failed to get moviegoers to see the film this weekend. Hardcore Henry delivered the lowest debut for STX Entertainment to date in the distributor's young history. The film opened with $2.01 million on Friday (which included an estimated $380,000 from Thursday night shows), declined a concerning 7 percent on Saturday to gross $1.87 million and is estimated to slide 35 percent on Sunday to take in $1.22 million. That places the film's estimated opening weekend to Friday ratio at a fairly front-loaded 2.54 to 1. Much like The Boss, Hardcore Henry doesn't appear to be going over all that well with moviegoers. Hardcore Henry also received a C+ rating on CinemaScore and has a respectable current Flixster audience score of 66 percent.

Faith-based films Miracles from Heaven and God's Not Dead 2 claimed sixth and seventh place with respective estimated takes of $4.80 million and $4.05 million. Sony's Miracles from Heaven was down a very solid 34 percent this weekend, while God's Not Dead 2 was down a sizable 47 percent. Miracles from Heaven passed the $50 million mark this weekend and continues to perform nicely with $53.81 million in 26 days. God's Not Dead 2 has been far less impressive with $13.84 million in ten days and clearly isn't duplicating the word of mouth or the performance of its predecessor, 2014's God's Not Dead, which grossed $21.75 million in its first ten days after falling just 4.5 percent in its second weekend to take in $8.80 million.

Weekend Actuals (Domestic) Fri, Nov. 16 - Sun, Nov. 18

Wide (1000+)

1Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald$62,163,104--4,163--$14,932$62,163,1041Warner Bros.
2Dr. Seuss' The Grinch$38,587,130-43%4,1410$9,318$126,963,4102Universal
3Bohemian Rhapsody$16,042,965-49%3,810-190$4,211$128,228,824320th Century Fox
4Instant Family$14,504,315--3,286--$4,414$14,504,3151Paramount Pictures
5Widows$12,361,307--2,803--$4,410$12,361,307120th Century Fox
6The Nutcracker and the Four Realms$4,772,950-53%2,635-1131$1,811$43,965,6403Walt Disney Pictures
7A Star is Born$4,293,663-47%2,010-838$2,136$185,784,5707Warner Bros.
8Overlord$3,790,251-63%2,8590$1,326$17,683,1402Paramount Pictures
9The Girl in the Spider’s Web$2,501,616-68%2,9290$854$13,292,1392Sony / Columbia
10Nobody's Fool$2,216,073-67%1,301-1167$1,703$28,843,6913Paramount
11Venom$1,976,625-60%1,307-1044$1,512$210,077,6687Sony / Columbia

Limited (100 — 999)

1Burn the Stage: The Movie$2,420,197--629--$3,848$3,643,9031
2Boy Erased$1,323,83275%409332$3,237$2,675,7823Focus Features
3Can You Ever Forgive Me?$893,180-38%555164$1,609$5,071,3655Fox Searchlight
4The Hate U Give$780,051-62%593-515$1,315$28,223,244720th Century Fox
5A Private War$701,589257%865827$811$1,068,1103Aviron Pictures
6Halloween (2018)$699,185-83%922-1795$758$158,795,3255Universal Pictures
7Beautiful Boy$582,263-60%558-218$1,043$6,401,2676Amazon
8Free Solo$467,510-38%187-79$2,500$8,935,9938National Geographic Entertainment
9Smallfoot$423,604-72%493-825$859$81,356,7728Warner Bros.
10Night School$333,325-67%370-347$901$76,600,0158Universal
11First Man$243,790-73%328-487$743$44,345,1006Universal
12The House With A Clock In Its Walls$172,855-44%195-86$886$68,074,0309Universal Pictures
13The Old Man & The Gun$163,773-64%171-224$958$10,614,5668Fox Searchlight
14Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween$142,711-84%307-1212$465$46,371,8386Sony
15Crazy Rich Asians$125,095-45%188-34$665$173,729,63914Warner Bros.
16Hunter Killer$84,702-88%194-763$437$15,649,4934Lionsgate / Summit
17Incredibles 2$80,805-34%130-10$622$608,401,00023Disney
18A Simple Favor$33,854-51%101-26$335$53,530,02510Lionsgate

Platform (1 — 99)

1Green Book$320,429--25--$12,817$320,4291Universal Pictures
2Johnny English Strikes Again$115,490-68%77-114$1,500$4,253,8754Universal Pictures
4Maria By Callas$96,651-1%293$3,333$470,1533Sony Pictures Classics
5Suspiria$95,804-74%53-208$1,808$2,236,1854Amazon Studios
6At Eternity’s Gate$92,855--4--$23,214$92,8551CBS Films
7The Front Runner$75,36446%2218$3,426$166,5332Sony / Columbia
8A Cool Fish$71,187--15--$4,746$71,1871China Lion Film
9Burning$64,171-16%25-2$2,567$300,1254Well Go USA Entertainment
10Wildlife$62,751-52%95-11$661$726,1605IFC Films
12Colette$51,201-44%865$595$5,069,7419Bleecker Street
13Last Letter$41,027-49%235$1,784$159,0522China Lion Film
14Bad Times At The El Royale$36,942-61%67-57$551$17,777,422620th Century Fox
15Disney's Christopher Robin$33,111-49%92-30$360$99,172,01016Disney
16The Nun$32,556-49%91-37$358$117,433,63611Warner Bros.
17Indivisible$25,891-84%59-143$439$3,465,7394Pure Flix
18El Ángel$21,977-6%119$1,998$53,9992The Orchard
19Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation$20,830-42%56-25$372$167,485,46021Sony / Columbia
20Tea With the Dames$16,301-55%24-15$679$806,6769IFC Films
21The Wife$13,583-55%25-10$543$7,768,60114Sony Pictures Classics
22Alpha$12,814-40%28-9$458$35,851,37914Sony / Columbia
23Wings of Desire (2018 re-release)$11,278221%43$2,820$71,6745Janus Films
24What They Had$10,481-71%24-29$437$254,3835Bleecker Street
25The Predator$9,095-47%25-18$364$51,014,17510Fox
26Studio 54$8,053--8--$1,007$175,4657Zeitgeist Films
27The Sisters Brothers$6,564-77%23-81$285$3,101,4689Annapurna Pictures
28Chef Flynn$6,473-14%32$2,158$38,3852Kino Lorber Films
29The Happy Prince$4,859-75%13-60$374$445,9996Sony Pictures Classics
30Gosnell: The Trial Of America's Biggest Serial Killer$4,444-62%11-22$404$3,651,0596GVN Releasing
31Pick of the Litter$4,09280%51$818$530,84512IFC Films
33Kusama - Infinity$3,030100%42$758$350,22611Magnolia Pictures
34The Great Buster: A Celebration$3,006--5--$601$81,6797Cohen Media Group
35Narcissister Organ Player$2,99751%21$1,499$7,9442Film Movement
37The Last Race$2,437--3--$812$2,4371Magnolia Pictures
38Searching for Ingmar Bergman$2,378-52%63$396$25,8353Oscilloscope Laboratories
39Rampant$2,293-85%2-7$1,147$166,5404Well Go USA Entertainment
40Under The Wire$2,271--2--$1,136$2,2711Abramorama
41The Guilty$2,223-63%7-9$318$190,6025Magnolia Pictures
42The Fog (2018 Re-Release)$1,76325%30$588$69,0294Rialto Pictures
43Puzzle$1,568143%42$392$2,031,24217Sony Pictures Classics
44Blaze$1,460-68%4-2$365$696,79314IFC Films / Sundance Selects
45Andrei Rublev$1,243--1--$1,243$100,14813Janus
46To the Arctic 3D$1,239--1--$1,239$14,535,909344Warner Bros. / IMAX
47On Her Shoulders$1,197-25%2-3$599$26,3845Oscilloscope Laboratories
48Senso$1,161-55%1-1$1,161$20,3084Rialto Pictures
49Unbroken: Path to Redemption$1,109-40%106$111$6,210,18310Pure Flix
50In Searching$874-72%1-1$874$4,5362Indican Pictures
51Horn from the Heart: The Paul Butterfield Story$859-68%10$859$21,0935Abramorama
52Born to Be Wild 3D$735--5--$147$25,789,233398Warner Bros. / IMAX
53The Rider$56775%10$567$2,406,75332Sony Pictures Classics
54School of Life$461--1--$461$6,30011Distrib Films US
55Here And Now$449-94%2-49$225$13,3372AMBI Distribution
56Antonio Lopez 1970: Sex Fashion & Disco$432-38%10$432$43,16910Film Movement
57Return of the Hero$417--1--$417$7,79212Distrib Films US
58Under the Sea 3D$347-63%40$87$35,983,738510Warner Bros. / IMAX
59Let the Corpses Tan$205-76%10$205$92,88612Kino Lorber
60Hubble 3D$187-61%41$47$52,346,535453Warner Bros. / IMAX
61Life and Nothing More$160-73%1-1$160$13,5764CFI Releasing
62River Runs Red$137-98%1-19$137$9,8752Cinedigm
64Weed the People$9036%10$90$9,1994Mangurama
651945$70-97%1-2$70$1,004,30355Menemsha Films
66Journey to the South Pacific$66-50%10$66$7,641,506260IMAX / MacGillivray Freeman
67Silencio$38-84%1-2$38$158,7234Tulip Pictures