Weekend Estimates: 'The Boss' ($23.48M) & 'Batman v Superman' ($23.44M) in Tight Race for First Place; 'Hardcore Henry' ($5.10M) Arrives SoftlyApril 10, 2016 09:42 AM

by Daniel Garris

It was an extremely close race between Universal's The Boss and Warner's Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice for first place this weekend. The Boss is currently estimated to come out ahead with $23.48 million, but with an estimated lead of only $45,000, either film could ultimately end up in first place this weekend.

Regardless of whether or not it ends up in first place this weekend, The Boss outpaced expectations and performed well with its modest price tag in mind. The Melissa McCarthy led R-rated comedy also proved to be critic-proof this weekend. The film's opening weekend performance was 9 percent ahead of the $21.58 million opening weekend of 2014's Tammy (though it should be noted that Tammy's opening weekend take was softened by a Wednesday debut) and 19 percent below the $29.09 million debut of last year's Spy (it should be noted that The Boss had been widely expected to open below Spy). With this weekend's performance of The Boss, McCarthy continues to remain one of the more consistent box office draws in recent years. McCarthy will next appear in Sony's Ghostbusters, which arrives on July 15.

The Boss started out with $8.11 million on Friday (which included an estimated $985,000 from Thursday night shows), increased a healthy 20 percent on Saturday to take in $9.73 million and is estimated to decline 42 percent on Sunday to gross $5.64 million. That gave the film an estimated opening weekend to Friday ratio of 2.90 to 1. The Boss skewed heavily toward female moviegoers (67 percent) and slightly towards moviegoers under the age of 35 (51 percent). Audience reception to The Boss appears to be lackluster as the film received a C+ rating on CinemaScore and current has a Flixster audience score of just 50 percent. With that in mind, it's quite possible that The Boss won't hold up as well going forward as McCarthy's previous hits have. On the other hand, the film's mentioned strong Saturday hold is an early encouraging sign.

After leading the box office for the past two weeks Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice fell to a close second place this weekend with an estimated $23.44 million. The blockbuster 3D superhero film starring Ben Affleck and Henry Cavill continued to fall off sharply, as the film was down 54 percent from last weekend. Batman v Superman is now on the verge of reaching the $300 million domestic mark with a 17-day take of $296.69 million. However, as a result of its soft holding power thus far, Batman v Superman is now running just 1 percent ahead of the $294.51 million 17-day take of last year's Furious 7 (which fell 51 percent in its third weekend to gross $29.16 million). With that in mind, Batman v Superman will soon fall behind the pace of Furious 7, especially with Disney's highly anticipated The Jungle Book entering the marketplace this coming Friday.

While Batman v Superman continued to decline sharply this weekend, Disney's Zootopia continued to display strong holding power with an estimated third place take of $14.35 million. The blockbuster 3D computer animated film was down just 26 percent from last weekend. Without taking into account ticket price inflation, Zootopia registered the eighth largest sixth weekend gross of all-time. Zootopia is also on the verge of reaching the $300 million domestic mark with a 38-day take of $296.01 million. The film is now running just 8 percent behind the $320.39 million 38-day take of last year's Inside Out and will continue to make up ground in that comparison going forward. Zootopia already has a current total gross to opening weekend ratio of 3.94 to 1.

Universal's My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 placed in fourth with an estimated $6.42 million. The PG-13 rated comedy sequel starring and written by Nia Vardalos was down 43 percent, as the film took a hit from the debut The Boss this weekend. My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 continues to perform towards the higher end of expectations with a 17-day take of $46.75 million. That places the film 6 percent behind the $49.59 million 17-day gross of last year's The Intern (which fell just 26 percent in its third weekend to take in $8.68 million). My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 will hope to re-stabilize next weekend with the debut of The Boss behind it.

Hardcore Henry rounded out the weekend's top five with an estimated $5.10 million. The low-budget action film from STX Entertainment opened below pre-release expectations and delivered a lackluster per-location average of $1,690 from just 3,015 locations. The trailer for Hardcore Henry had gone over well, especially online, but that reception ultimately failed to get moviegoers to see the film this weekend. Hardcore Henry delivered the lowest debut for STX Entertainment to date in the distributor's young history. The film opened with $2.01 million on Friday (which included an estimated $380,000 from Thursday night shows), declined a concerning 7 percent on Saturday to gross $1.87 million and is estimated to slide 35 percent on Sunday to take in $1.22 million. That places the film's estimated opening weekend to Friday ratio at a fairly front-loaded 2.54 to 1. Much like The Boss, Hardcore Henry doesn't appear to be going over all that well with moviegoers. Hardcore Henry also received a C+ rating on CinemaScore and has a respectable current Flixster audience score of 66 percent.

Faith-based films Miracles from Heaven and God's Not Dead 2 claimed sixth and seventh place with respective estimated takes of $4.80 million and $4.05 million. Sony's Miracles from Heaven was down a very solid 34 percent this weekend, while God's Not Dead 2 was down a sizable 47 percent. Miracles from Heaven passed the $50 million mark this weekend and continues to perform nicely with $53.81 million in 26 days. God's Not Dead 2 has been far less impressive with $13.84 million in ten days and clearly isn't duplicating the word of mouth or the performance of its predecessor, 2014's God's Not Dead, which grossed $21.75 million in its first ten days after falling just 4.5 percent in its second weekend to take in $8.80 million.

Weekend Actuals (Domestic) Fri, Mar. 8 - Sun, Mar. 10

Wide (1000+)

1Captain Marvel$153,433,423--4,310--$35,599$153,433,4231Disney
2How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World$14,685,005-51%4,042-244$3,633$119,651,1306Universal / DreamWorks Animation
3Tyler Perry's A Madea Family Funeral$12,465,383-54%2,4420$5,105$46,295,1932Lionsgate
4The LEGO Movie 2: The Second Part$3,868,248-41%2,930-528$1,320$97,153,2097Warner Bros.
5Alita: Battle Angel$3,215,344-55%2,374-722$1,354$78,361,408420th Century Fox
6Green Book$2,511,325-45%2,097-544$1,198$80,163,19617Universal Pictures
7Isn't It Romantic$2,261,026-50%2,223-1102$1,017$44,005,7464Warner Bros.
8Greta$2,188,430-51%2,4176$905$8,279,1652Focus Features
9Fighting With My Family$2,184,010-53%2,455-400$890$18,652,1004MGM
10What Men Want$1,242,533-55%1,062-956$1,170$52,039,6935Paramount
11The Upside$1,028,195-49%1,010-597$1,018$104,548,2269STX Entertainment
12Happy Death Day 2U$870,650-65%1,098-1233$793$26,797,2954Universal Pictures

Limited (100 — 999)

1Apollo 11$1,250,931-22%405285$3,089$3,730,8832Neon
2A Star is Born$740,256-60%810-425$914$214,528,51123Warner Bros.
3Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse$649,380-70%824-1580$788$188,791,06413Sony / Columbia
4Run The Race$615,745-53%753-322$818$5,249,9943Roadside Attractions
5The Kid$514,286--268--$1,919$514,2861Lionsgate
6Cold Pursuit$512,095-69%823-942$622$31,114,0655Lionsgate / Summit
7Everybody Knows$440,505-6%28374$1,557$1,873,4715Focus Features
8Bohemian Rhapsody$378,428-61%386-453$980$215,236,4641920th Century Fox
10The Favourite$260,117-68%278-464$936$33,809,41516Fox Searchlight
11Ralph Breaks the Internet$254,20013%2095$1,216$200,511,48316Disney
12Aquaman$200,033-56%303-131$660$334,036,29213Warner Bros.
13Arctic$178,000-51%208-60$856$1,981,4976Bleecker Street
14They Shall Not Grow Old$175,093-51%213-155$822$17,354,29612Warner Bros.
15Mary Poppins Returns$174,033-18%215-30$809$171,477,29312Disney
16Total Dhamaal$156,180-65%118-91$1,324$2,020,7323FIP
17A Dog's Way Home$137,8238%194-17$710$41,602,5519Sony Pictures
18Free Solo$137,203-63%119-119$1,153$17,235,94524National Geographic Entertainment
19The Prodigy$110,160-74%152-381$725$14,647,1135Orion Pictures
20Escape Room$86,491-31%110-48$786$56,481,76010Sony Pictures
21The Mule$71,440-34%121-45$590$103,763,02313Warner Bros.

Platform (1 — 99)

1Badla$596,448--94--$6,345$596,4481Reliance Entertainment
2CATVIDEOFEST 2019$165,481747%6461$2,586$240,0574Oscilloscope
3Furie$160,6623%2713$5,950$392,1262Well Go USA Entertainment
4Gloria Bell$145,218--5--$29,044$145,2181A24
6Never Look Away$109,101-17%77-45$1,417$856,2647Sony Pictures Classics
7If Beale Street Could Talk$70,417-49%74-52$952$14,769,03113Annapurna
9The Wedding Guest$65,335258%3127$2,108$89,5632IFC Films
10Cold War$60,368-55%60-68$1,006$4,477,06312Amazon Studios
11Birds of Passage$59,8074%5019$1,196$245,0454The Orchard
12Extreme Job$51,314-45%15-2$3,421$1,476,9627CJ Entertainment
13Capernaum$50,546-32%45-13$1,123$1,459,58913Sony Pictures Classics
14Stan & Ollie$50,1737%61-10$823$5,148,27211Sony Pictures Classics
15Miss Bala$40,418-63%64-82$632$14,953,0316Sony Pictures
16Transit$39,81025%53$7,962$87,0022Music Box Films
17Woman At War$38,299108%1611$2,394$65,0552Magnolia Pictures
18The Kid Who Would Be King$33,993-37%95-16$358$16,712,302720th Century Fox
19The Invisibles$24,70556%160$1,544$266,2277Greenwich Entertainment
20The 2019 Oscar Nominated Short Films$21,953-80%23-74$954$3,500,0615ShortsTV w/ Magnolia Pictures
21Babylon$21,214--1--$21,214$21,2141Kino Lorber Films
22Shoplifters$17,985-9%20-2$899$3,232,80916Magnolia Pictures
23To Dust$17,432-22%18-5$968$125,3785Good Deed Entertainment
24Uri: The Surgical Strike$13,020-62%9-6$1,447$4,173,1409PackYourBag Films
25Qué León (What A Lion)$11,3675%5-5$2,273$2,604,39615Spanglish
26The Wife$11,038-69%29-49$381$9,559,19430Sony Pictures Classics
27Police Story and Police Story 2$9,30296%31$3,101$86,5026Janus Films
28Ruben Brandt, Collector$8,812-28%172$518$50,6054Sony Pictures Classics
29Who Will Write Our History$8,388314%64$1,398$106,3528Abramorama
30Lords of Chaos$8,147-59%18-17$453$239,1615Gunpowder & Sky
313 Faces$7,065--1--$7,065$20,4541Kino Lorber
32The Last Resort$6,942-57%10-3$694$135,78712Kino Lober Films
33War and Peace$5,940--1--$5,940$45,4134Janus Films
34Can You Ever Forgive Me?$5,608-64%9-10$623$8,799,42021Fox Searchlight
35Styx$5,51561%10$5,515$14,5902Film Movement
36The Heiresses$5,512144%50$1,102$60,0658Distrib Films US
37Creed II$5,045-23%20-5$252$115,710,01316MGM / Warner Bros
38Wrestle$4,97627%42$1,244$18,0463Oscilloscope Laboratories
39Joseph Pulitzer: Voice of the People$4,548-20%54$910$11,7292First Run Features
40The Sower$3,842-7%53$768$16,8422
41Racetime$3,638564%18-19$202$1,861,26614Entertainment One
42Ferrante Fever$3,509--1--$3,509$3,5091Greenwich Entertainment
43The Image Book$3,307-6%82$413$86,4297Kino Lorber Films
44Sonchiriya$2,880-95%8-62$360$85,1482PackYourBag Films
45Virginia Minnesota$2,817-27%20$1,409$8,6232Indican Pictures
46Destroyer$2,696-63%8-7$337$1,527,09911Annapurna Pictures
47The Wild Pear Tree$2,090601%54$418$25,7396Cinema Guild
48Becoming Astrid$1,594--2--$797$115,37616Music Box Films
49The World Before Your Feet$1,47272%20$736$253,34816Greenwich Entertainment
50Hotel By The River$1,395-18%42$349$19,9224Cinema Guild
51Belle and Sebastian, Friends for Life$1,29226%6-4$215$104,5617Entertainment One
52Saint Judy$949-98%3-52$316$73,2222Blue Fox Entertainment
53The Gospel of Eureka$823129%21$412$16,1135Kino Lorber
54Hale County This Morning, This Evening$746-43%3-2$249$108,38026Cinema Guild
55JONI 75: A Birthday Celebration$706-65%20$353$750,9255Trafalgar Releasing
56La Religieuse$683--2--$342$30,24510Rialto Pictures
57What Is Democracy?$615-32%20$308$36,3578Zeitgeist Films
58This Magnificent Cake!$577-42%10$577$2,5532GKIDS
59Sorry Angel$26-99%1-3$26$17,5124Strand Releasing