Weekend Estimates: 'The Boss' ($23.48M) & 'Batman v Superman' ($23.44M) in Tight Race for First Place; 'Hardcore Henry' ($5.10M) Arrives SoftlyApril 10, 2016 09:42 AM

by Daniel Garris

It was an extremely close race between Universal's The Boss and Warner's Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice for first place this weekend. The Boss is currently estimated to come out ahead with $23.48 million, but with an estimated lead of only $45,000, either film could ultimately end up in first place this weekend.

Regardless of whether or not it ends up in first place this weekend, The Boss outpaced expectations and performed well with its modest price tag in mind. The Melissa McCarthy led R-rated comedy also proved to be critic-proof this weekend. The film's opening weekend performance was 9 percent ahead of the $21.58 million opening weekend of 2014's Tammy (though it should be noted that Tammy's opening weekend take was softened by a Wednesday debut) and 19 percent below the $29.09 million debut of last year's Spy (it should be noted that The Boss had been widely expected to open below Spy). With this weekend's performance of The Boss, McCarthy continues to remain one of the more consistent box office draws in recent years. McCarthy will next appear in Sony's Ghostbusters, which arrives on July 15.

The Boss started out with $8.11 million on Friday (which included an estimated $985,000 from Thursday night shows), increased a healthy 20 percent on Saturday to take in $9.73 million and is estimated to decline 42 percent on Sunday to gross $5.64 million. That gave the film an estimated opening weekend to Friday ratio of 2.90 to 1. The Boss skewed heavily toward female moviegoers (67 percent) and slightly towards moviegoers under the age of 35 (51 percent). Audience reception to The Boss appears to be lackluster as the film received a C+ rating on CinemaScore and current has a Flixster audience score of just 50 percent. With that in mind, it's quite possible that The Boss won't hold up as well going forward as McCarthy's previous hits have. On the other hand, the film's mentioned strong Saturday hold is an early encouraging sign.

After leading the box office for the past two weeks Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice fell to a close second place this weekend with an estimated $23.44 million. The blockbuster 3D superhero film starring Ben Affleck and Henry Cavill continued to fall off sharply, as the film was down 54 percent from last weekend. Batman v Superman is now on the verge of reaching the $300 million domestic mark with a 17-day take of $296.69 million. However, as a result of its soft holding power thus far, Batman v Superman is now running just 1 percent ahead of the $294.51 million 17-day take of last year's Furious 7 (which fell 51 percent in its third weekend to gross $29.16 million). With that in mind, Batman v Superman will soon fall behind the pace of Furious 7, especially with Disney's highly anticipated The Jungle Book entering the marketplace this coming Friday.

While Batman v Superman continued to decline sharply this weekend, Disney's Zootopia continued to display strong holding power with an estimated third place take of $14.35 million. The blockbuster 3D computer animated film was down just 26 percent from last weekend. Without taking into account ticket price inflation, Zootopia registered the eighth largest sixth weekend gross of all-time. Zootopia is also on the verge of reaching the $300 million domestic mark with a 38-day take of $296.01 million. The film is now running just 8 percent behind the $320.39 million 38-day take of last year's Inside Out and will continue to make up ground in that comparison going forward. Zootopia already has a current total gross to opening weekend ratio of 3.94 to 1.

Universal's My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 placed in fourth with an estimated $6.42 million. The PG-13 rated comedy sequel starring and written by Nia Vardalos was down 43 percent, as the film took a hit from the debut The Boss this weekend. My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 continues to perform towards the higher end of expectations with a 17-day take of $46.75 million. That places the film 6 percent behind the $49.59 million 17-day gross of last year's The Intern (which fell just 26 percent in its third weekend to take in $8.68 million). My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 will hope to re-stabilize next weekend with the debut of The Boss behind it.

Hardcore Henry rounded out the weekend's top five with an estimated $5.10 million. The low-budget action film from STX Entertainment opened below pre-release expectations and delivered a lackluster per-location average of $1,690 from just 3,015 locations. The trailer for Hardcore Henry had gone over well, especially online, but that reception ultimately failed to get moviegoers to see the film this weekend. Hardcore Henry delivered the lowest debut for STX Entertainment to date in the distributor's young history. The film opened with $2.01 million on Friday (which included an estimated $380,000 from Thursday night shows), declined a concerning 7 percent on Saturday to gross $1.87 million and is estimated to slide 35 percent on Sunday to take in $1.22 million. That places the film's estimated opening weekend to Friday ratio at a fairly front-loaded 2.54 to 1. Much like The Boss, Hardcore Henry doesn't appear to be going over all that well with moviegoers. Hardcore Henry also received a C+ rating on CinemaScore and has a respectable current Flixster audience score of 66 percent.

Faith-based films Miracles from Heaven and God's Not Dead 2 claimed sixth and seventh place with respective estimated takes of $4.80 million and $4.05 million. Sony's Miracles from Heaven was down a very solid 34 percent this weekend, while God's Not Dead 2 was down a sizable 47 percent. Miracles from Heaven passed the $50 million mark this weekend and continues to perform nicely with $53.81 million in 26 days. God's Not Dead 2 has been far less impressive with $13.84 million in ten days and clearly isn't duplicating the word of mouth or the performance of its predecessor, 2014's God's Not Dead, which grossed $21.75 million in its first ten days after falling just 4.5 percent in its second weekend to take in $8.80 million.

Weekend Actuals (Domestic) Fri, Jan. 3 - Sun, Jan. 5

Wide (1000+)

1Star Wars: The Rise Of Skywalker$34,524,815-52%4,4060$7,836$451,582,2563Disney
2Jumanji: The Next Level$26,227,346-26%4,134-93$6,344$235,933,7514Sony Pictures
3Little Women$13,612,373-19%3,3080$4,115$60,060,7052Sony Pictures
4Frozen II$11,854,169-30%3,175-90$3,734$450,439,5337Disney
5The Grudge$11,404,113--2,642--$4,316$11,404,1131Sony Pictures
6Spies in Disguise$10,396,460-22%3,5020$2,969$47,042,421220th Century Fox
7Knives Out$8,916,416-10%2,142120$4,163$130,119,4506Lionsgate
8Uncut Gems$7,570,205-21%2,686338$2,818$36,556,3844A24
10Cats$2,630,135-45%2,902-478$906$24,721,0703Universal Pictures
11Richard Jewell$1,664,849-46%1,870-632$890$21,103,1654Warner Bros.

Limited (100 — 999)

1Ford v. Ferrari$1,706,499-5%730-63$2,338$109,976,339820th Century Fox
2A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood$1,223,296-15%856-158$1,429$58,801,9617Sony Pictures
3Queen & Slim$1,168,600-31%625-74$1,870$42,663,3706Universal Pictures
5Ip Man 4: The Finale$669,054-9%12555$5,352$2,866,6762Well Go USA Entertainment
621 Bridges$391,57973%476247$823$28,265,0177STX Entertainment
7Jojo Rabbit$344,73636%2091$1,649$21,579,55012Fox Searchlight
8A Hidden Life$261,50021%15133$1,732$1,274,3294Fox Searchlight
9Doctor Who Live Q&A and Screening$228,615--692--$330$228,6151Fathom Events
10Black Christmas$194,740-77%440-1074$443$10,376,1554Universal Pictures
11Dark Waters$188,0355%133-7$1,414$10,929,6697Focus Features
13Playing with Fire$151,659-9%156-32$972$44,406,8909Paramount Pictures
14Maleficent: Mistress of Evil$140,579-19%148-7$950$113,532,74512Disney
15Harriet$138,3755%12412$1,116$42,761,26510Focus Features
16Joker$128,484-3%111-9$1,158$333,985,45414Warner Bros.

Platform (1 — 99)

11917$617,6977%110$56,154$2,307,5642Universal Pictures
2Merci pour tout (Thanks For Everything)$176,683-24%625$2,850$718,3212eOne Entertainment
3Just Mercy$76,615-29%40$19,154$400,3482Warner Bros.
4No Safe Spaces$74,384824%7056$1,063$1,240,21111Atlas Distribution
5Pain and Glory$66,75547%8342$804$3,967,03814Sony Pictures Classics
6The Good Liar$66,023-2%930$710$17,082,3978Warner Bros.
7The Song Of Names$62,57559%177$3,681$179,9622Sony Pictures Classics
8Zombieland: Double Tap$60,379-7%86-4$702$73,027,57112Sony Pictures
9Fantastic Fungi$52,0643%23-1$2,264$1,444,55416Area 23a
1063 Up$34,2601%192$1,803$299,7446BritBox
11Cunningham$30,699229%2115$1,462$102,0824Magnolia Pictures
13Ashfall$29,192-28%20$14,596$232,9803CJ Entertainment
14Invisible life$26,045287%1311$2,003$53,7833Amazon Studios
15Honey Boy$22,046-13%23-11$959$2,980,0999Amazon Studios
16Charlie's Angels$18,813-35%55-12$342$17,790,1818Sony Pictures
17The Lighthouse$18,183-8%210$866$10,809,32012A24
18Doctor Sleep$17,536-28%54-9$325$31,574,4379Warner Bros.
20Once Upon a Time In Hollywood$14,10126%120$1,175$141,096,53024Sony Pictures
21Countdown$13,022-32%270$482$25,617,81311STX Entertainment
22Advocate$8,186--2--$4,093$9,1521Film Movement
23Les Misérables - The Staged Concert$6,867193%41$1,717$439,6265Trafalgar Releasing
24Playmobil: The Movie$6,44814%250$258$1,113,8855STX Entertainment
25The White Sheik$6,32914%10$6,329$22,0092Rialto Pictures
26American Dharma$5,304404%40$1,326$50,25010Utopia
27Synonyms$5,184104%3-2$1,728$186,48211Kino Lorber
28Judy$4,694-49%20-2$235$24,027,75515Roadside Attractions / LD Entertainment
29The Kingmaker$3,43125%60$572$115,2539Greenwich Entertainment
30Midnight Family$3,405245%0-2--$19,98351091
31Linda Ronstadt: The Sound of My Voice$3,30777%41$827$4,244,89418Greenwich Entertainment
32Branagh Theatre Live: The Winter's Tale$3,254-29%6-10$542$116,8775Trafalgar Releasing
33Recorder: The Marion Stokes Project$2,664--3--$888$36,5238Zeitgeist Films
34Aquarela$2,1236%124$177$306,61521Sony Pictures Classics
35Maiden$2,075-2%132$160$3,168,12028Sony Pictures Classics
36Ága$2,043--2--$1,022$34,13018Big World Pictures
37Varda by Agnes$2,0025%30$667$107,6317Janus Films
38Hustlers$1,348-32%30$449$104,962,98617STX Entertainment
39Sympathy for the Devil$982-2%10$982$47,4736eOne Entertainment
40Mr. Klein$921--1--$921$189,71818Rialto Pictures
41Christ Stopped at Eboli$864--1--$864$77,70740Rialto Pictures
42Frankie$668-74%3-8$223$171,48311Sony Pictures Classics
43Temblores$537-42%30$179$19,5627Film Movement
44Redoubt$482274%1-1$482$21,55610Grasshopper Film
45The Disappearance of My Mother$43757%1-1$437$20,2935Kino Lorber
46Give Me Liberty$399--1--$399$238,60020Music Box Films
47A German Youth$343--1--$343$2,17713Big World Pictures
48Be Natural: The Untold Story of Alice Guy-Blaché$324--1--$324$114,23838Zeitgeist Films
49I Do Not Care If We Go Down in History as Barbarians$293--1--$293$11,30725Big World Pictures
50By the Grace of God$192--1--$192$61,07912Music Box Films
51Chained for Life$54--1--$54$17,37017Kino Lorber Films