Weekend Estimates: 'The Boss' ($23.48M) & 'Batman v Superman' ($23.44M) in Tight Race for First Place; 'Hardcore Henry' ($5.10M) Arrives SoftlyApril 10, 2016 09:42 AM

by Daniel Garris

It was an extremely close race between Universal's The Boss and Warner's Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice for first place this weekend. The Boss is currently estimated to come out ahead with $23.48 million, but with an estimated lead of only $45,000, either film could ultimately end up in first place this weekend.

Regardless of whether or not it ends up in first place this weekend, The Boss outpaced expectations and performed well with its modest price tag in mind. The Melissa McCarthy led R-rated comedy also proved to be critic-proof this weekend. The film's opening weekend performance was 9 percent ahead of the $21.58 million opening weekend of 2014's Tammy (though it should be noted that Tammy's opening weekend take was softened by a Wednesday debut) and 19 percent below the $29.09 million debut of last year's Spy (it should be noted that The Boss had been widely expected to open below Spy). With this weekend's performance of The Boss, McCarthy continues to remain one of the more consistent box office draws in recent years. McCarthy will next appear in Sony's Ghostbusters, which arrives on July 15.

The Boss started out with $8.11 million on Friday (which included an estimated $985,000 from Thursday night shows), increased a healthy 20 percent on Saturday to take in $9.73 million and is estimated to decline 42 percent on Sunday to gross $5.64 million. That gave the film an estimated opening weekend to Friday ratio of 2.90 to 1. The Boss skewed heavily toward female moviegoers (67 percent) and slightly towards moviegoers under the age of 35 (51 percent). Audience reception to The Boss appears to be lackluster as the film received a C+ rating on CinemaScore and current has a Flixster audience score of just 50 percent. With that in mind, it's quite possible that The Boss won't hold up as well going forward as McCarthy's previous hits have. On the other hand, the film's mentioned strong Saturday hold is an early encouraging sign.

After leading the box office for the past two weeks Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice fell to a close second place this weekend with an estimated $23.44 million. The blockbuster 3D superhero film starring Ben Affleck and Henry Cavill continued to fall off sharply, as the film was down 54 percent from last weekend. Batman v Superman is now on the verge of reaching the $300 million domestic mark with a 17-day take of $296.69 million. However, as a result of its soft holding power thus far, Batman v Superman is now running just 1 percent ahead of the $294.51 million 17-day take of last year's Furious 7 (which fell 51 percent in its third weekend to gross $29.16 million). With that in mind, Batman v Superman will soon fall behind the pace of Furious 7, especially with Disney's highly anticipated The Jungle Book entering the marketplace this coming Friday.

While Batman v Superman continued to decline sharply this weekend, Disney's Zootopia continued to display strong holding power with an estimated third place take of $14.35 million. The blockbuster 3D computer animated film was down just 26 percent from last weekend. Without taking into account ticket price inflation, Zootopia registered the eighth largest sixth weekend gross of all-time. Zootopia is also on the verge of reaching the $300 million domestic mark with a 38-day take of $296.01 million. The film is now running just 8 percent behind the $320.39 million 38-day take of last year's Inside Out and will continue to make up ground in that comparison going forward. Zootopia already has a current total gross to opening weekend ratio of 3.94 to 1.

Universal's My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 placed in fourth with an estimated $6.42 million. The PG-13 rated comedy sequel starring and written by Nia Vardalos was down 43 percent, as the film took a hit from the debut The Boss this weekend. My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 continues to perform towards the higher end of expectations with a 17-day take of $46.75 million. That places the film 6 percent behind the $49.59 million 17-day gross of last year's The Intern (which fell just 26 percent in its third weekend to take in $8.68 million). My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 will hope to re-stabilize next weekend with the debut of The Boss behind it.

Hardcore Henry rounded out the weekend's top five with an estimated $5.10 million. The low-budget action film from STX Entertainment opened below pre-release expectations and delivered a lackluster per-location average of $1,690 from just 3,015 locations. The trailer for Hardcore Henry had gone over well, especially online, but that reception ultimately failed to get moviegoers to see the film this weekend. Hardcore Henry delivered the lowest debut for STX Entertainment to date in the distributor's young history. The film opened with $2.01 million on Friday (which included an estimated $380,000 from Thursday night shows), declined a concerning 7 percent on Saturday to gross $1.87 million and is estimated to slide 35 percent on Sunday to take in $1.22 million. That places the film's estimated opening weekend to Friday ratio at a fairly front-loaded 2.54 to 1. Much like The Boss, Hardcore Henry doesn't appear to be going over all that well with moviegoers. Hardcore Henry also received a C+ rating on CinemaScore and has a respectable current Flixster audience score of 66 percent.

Faith-based films Miracles from Heaven and God's Not Dead 2 claimed sixth and seventh place with respective estimated takes of $4.80 million and $4.05 million. Sony's Miracles from Heaven was down a very solid 34 percent this weekend, while God's Not Dead 2 was down a sizable 47 percent. Miracles from Heaven passed the $50 million mark this weekend and continues to perform nicely with $53.81 million in 26 days. God's Not Dead 2 has been far less impressive with $13.84 million in ten days and clearly isn't duplicating the word of mouth or the performance of its predecessor, 2014's God's Not Dead, which grossed $21.75 million in its first ten days after falling just 4.5 percent in its second weekend to take in $8.80 million.

Daily Domestic Gross Sat, Oct. 15 2016

Wide (1000+)

#TitleSat, Oct. 15 2016LocationsAvg.TotalWks.Dist.
1The Accountant$9,561,3145%3,332--$2,870$18,633,6341Warner Bros.
2The Girl on the Train (2016)$5,130,64530%3,24197$1,583$43,648,2802Universal
3Kevin Hart: What Now?$4,520,515-5%2,567--$1,761$9,266,0701Universal
4Miss Peregrine's Home for Peculiar Children$3,990,60771%3,835130$1,041$63,260,7033Fox
5Deepwater Horizon$2,858,22353%3,403144$840$47,710,4783Lionsgate / Summit
6Storks$2,519,23180%3,066-542$822$57,461,1134Warner Bros.
7The Magnificent Seven (2016)$2,348,90555%3,210-486$732$83,493,1264Sony / Columbia
8Middle School: The Worst Years of My Life$1,957,73265%2,8220$694$12,653,2092CBS Films / Lionsgate
9Sully$1,296,18947%2,211-847$586$117,588,2606Warner Bros.
10The Birth of a Nation (2016)$1,211,90553%2,1050$576$11,534,6412Fox Searchlight
11Max Steel$924,80345%2,034--$455$1,562,5981Open Road
12Masterminds (2016)$766,49552%2,027-1015$378$15,782,3763Relativity Studios
13Queen of Katwe$388,81663%1,062-197$366$6,781,3634Disney

Limited (100 — 999)

#TitleSat, Oct. 15 2016LocationsAvg.TotalWks.Dist.
1Suicide Squad$333,88079%630-342$530$323,480,75511Warner Bros.
2Shin Godzilla$331,760536%311--$1,067$1,424,3401FUNimation Films
3Don't Breathe$317,07565%612-454$518$88,009,3518Sony / TriStar
4Priceless (2016)$231,427-22%303--$764$527,5361Roadside Attractions
5Bridget Jones's Baby$155,34051%390-525$398$23,509,1205Universal
6Snowden$132,80362%343-444$387$20,807,7475Open Road
7The Secret Life of Pets$122,12583%276-63$442$365,720,96015Universal
8Finding Dory$120,39869%189-18$637$485,096,16618Disney
9Blair Witch$79,17046%243-425$326$20,535,8195Lionsgate
10Hell or High Water$74,57353%188-87$397$26,448,13110CBS Films / Lionsgate
11When the Bough Breaks$68,151105%183-277$372$29,566,8096Sony / Screen Gems
12American Honey$57,95627%135110$429$323,9153A24
13Pete's Dragon (2016)$54,56757%165-59$331$75,156,87410Disney
14Bad Moms$54,41946%176-89$309$113,049,94912STX Entertainment
15Ghostbusters (2016)$53,36076%145-26$368$128,117,03614Sony / Columbia
16Kubo and the Two Strings$49,71196%139-112$358$47,306,7589Focus
17Jason Bourne$38,34548%131-55$293$162,036,73012Universal
18Star Trek Beyond$36,84162%151-40$244$158,783,51513Paramount
19Mechanic: Resurrection$36,02264%10133$357$21,109,8608Lionsgate / Summit
20War Dogs$18,31129%123-52$149$43,005,1109Warner Bros.

Platform (1 — 99)

#TitleSat, Oct. 15 2016LocationsAvg.TotalWks.Dist.
1Denial$194,51176%9665$2,026$746,3013Bleeker Street
2Desierto$176,82421%73--$2,422$323,5521STX Entertainment
3Premam$63,13761%90-22$702$724,7582Blue Sky Cinema
4No Manches Frida$43,85473%86-52$510$11,354,3457Lionsgate / Pantelion
5M.S. Dhoni: The Untold Story$36,07065%70-163$515$1,760,5003FIP
6Nine Lives (2016)$25,72388%88-26$292$19,620,35011EuropaCorp Films
7Sausage Party$22,84966%99-972$231$97,583,30610Sony / Columbia
8Florence Foster Jenkins$18,80528%8715$216$27,308,56410Paramount
9Spirit of the Game$17,6099%273$652$114,8482Samuel Goldwyn / Purdie Distribution
10Ice Age: Collision Course$17,329104%78-47$222$63,999,39913Fox
11The Light Between Oceans$12,39136%61-40$203$12,427,0407Disney / DreamWorks
12Captain Fantastic$10,72344%3913$275$5,839,92015Bleecker Street
13Miss Hokusai$8,8432%2--$4,422$17,5261GKIDS
14Hunt for the Wilderpeople$7,98923%23-16$347$5,162,61117The Orchard
15Voiceless$7,349-44%45-55$163$342,9992ArtAffects Entertainment
16Christine (2016)$5,074-6%1--$5,074$10,4601The Orchard
17Hillsong - Let Hope Rise$4,94769%18-18$275$2,380,6205
18Indignation$4,122104%9-4$458$3,378,25612Roadside / Summit
19Greater$3,998-29%15-13$267$1,948,0898Hammond Entertainment
20The Battle Of Algiers (50th Anniversary)$2,97830%52$596$32,1592Rialto
21Southside with You$2,47921%8-5$310$6,293,8718Roadside / Miramax
22The Disappointments Room$2,32552%2925$80$2,409,7676Relativity Studios
23Under the Shadow$2,17119%9-5$241$24,5662Vertical Entertainment
24Demon$1,314119%6-6$219$96,7916The Orchard The Orchard
25Victor$53154%10$531$101,1215CanZion Films
26Elevator To The Gallows (2016 re-release)$491106%1--$491$104,47211Rialto Pictures
27Mr. Church$34134%4-8$85$684,0155Freestyle Releasing
28The Fallen Idol (2016 re-issue)$218--1--$218$56,41621Rialto Pictures
29Saturday's Warrior$1585%40$40$753,28129Purdie Distribution
30Made In France$110214%10$110$6,6294Distrib Films Under the Milky Way