Weekend Estimates: 'The Boss' ($23.48M) & 'Batman v Superman' ($23.44M) in Tight Race for First Place; 'Hardcore Henry' ($5.10M) Arrives SoftlyApril 10, 2016 09:42 AM

by Daniel Garris

It was an extremely close race between Universal's The Boss and Warner's Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice for first place this weekend. The Boss is currently estimated to come out ahead with $23.48 million, but with an estimated lead of only $45,000, either film could ultimately end up in first place this weekend.

Regardless of whether or not it ends up in first place this weekend, The Boss outpaced expectations and performed well with its modest price tag in mind. The Melissa McCarthy led R-rated comedy also proved to be critic-proof this weekend. The film's opening weekend performance was 9 percent ahead of the $21.58 million opening weekend of 2014's Tammy (though it should be noted that Tammy's opening weekend take was softened by a Wednesday debut) and 19 percent below the $29.09 million debut of last year's Spy (it should be noted that The Boss had been widely expected to open below Spy). With this weekend's performance of The Boss, McCarthy continues to remain one of the more consistent box office draws in recent years. McCarthy will next appear in Sony's Ghostbusters, which arrives on July 15.

The Boss started out with $8.11 million on Friday (which included an estimated $985,000 from Thursday night shows), increased a healthy 20 percent on Saturday to take in $9.73 million and is estimated to decline 42 percent on Sunday to gross $5.64 million. That gave the film an estimated opening weekend to Friday ratio of 2.90 to 1. The Boss skewed heavily toward female moviegoers (67 percent) and slightly towards moviegoers under the age of 35 (51 percent). Audience reception to The Boss appears to be lackluster as the film received a C+ rating on CinemaScore and current has a Flixster audience score of just 50 percent. With that in mind, it's quite possible that The Boss won't hold up as well going forward as McCarthy's previous hits have. On the other hand, the film's mentioned strong Saturday hold is an early encouraging sign.

After leading the box office for the past two weeks Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice fell to a close second place this weekend with an estimated $23.44 million. The blockbuster 3D superhero film starring Ben Affleck and Henry Cavill continued to fall off sharply, as the film was down 54 percent from last weekend. Batman v Superman is now on the verge of reaching the $300 million domestic mark with a 17-day take of $296.69 million. However, as a result of its soft holding power thus far, Batman v Superman is now running just 1 percent ahead of the $294.51 million 17-day take of last year's Furious 7 (which fell 51 percent in its third weekend to gross $29.16 million). With that in mind, Batman v Superman will soon fall behind the pace of Furious 7, especially with Disney's highly anticipated The Jungle Book entering the marketplace this coming Friday.

While Batman v Superman continued to decline sharply this weekend, Disney's Zootopia continued to display strong holding power with an estimated third place take of $14.35 million. The blockbuster 3D computer animated film was down just 26 percent from last weekend. Without taking into account ticket price inflation, Zootopia registered the eighth largest sixth weekend gross of all-time. Zootopia is also on the verge of reaching the $300 million domestic mark with a 38-day take of $296.01 million. The film is now running just 8 percent behind the $320.39 million 38-day take of last year's Inside Out and will continue to make up ground in that comparison going forward. Zootopia already has a current total gross to opening weekend ratio of 3.94 to 1.

Universal's My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 placed in fourth with an estimated $6.42 million. The PG-13 rated comedy sequel starring and written by Nia Vardalos was down 43 percent, as the film took a hit from the debut The Boss this weekend. My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 continues to perform towards the higher end of expectations with a 17-day take of $46.75 million. That places the film 6 percent behind the $49.59 million 17-day gross of last year's The Intern (which fell just 26 percent in its third weekend to take in $8.68 million). My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 will hope to re-stabilize next weekend with the debut of The Boss behind it.

Hardcore Henry rounded out the weekend's top five with an estimated $5.10 million. The low-budget action film from STX Entertainment opened below pre-release expectations and delivered a lackluster per-location average of $1,690 from just 3,015 locations. The trailer for Hardcore Henry had gone over well, especially online, but that reception ultimately failed to get moviegoers to see the film this weekend. Hardcore Henry delivered the lowest debut for STX Entertainment to date in the distributor's young history. The film opened with $2.01 million on Friday (which included an estimated $380,000 from Thursday night shows), declined a concerning 7 percent on Saturday to gross $1.87 million and is estimated to slide 35 percent on Sunday to take in $1.22 million. That places the film's estimated opening weekend to Friday ratio at a fairly front-loaded 2.54 to 1. Much like The Boss, Hardcore Henry doesn't appear to be going over all that well with moviegoers. Hardcore Henry also received a C+ rating on CinemaScore and has a respectable current Flixster audience score of 66 percent.

Faith-based films Miracles from Heaven and God's Not Dead 2 claimed sixth and seventh place with respective estimated takes of $4.80 million and $4.05 million. Sony's Miracles from Heaven was down a very solid 34 percent this weekend, while God's Not Dead 2 was down a sizable 47 percent. Miracles from Heaven passed the $50 million mark this weekend and continues to perform nicely with $53.81 million in 26 days. God's Not Dead 2 has been far less impressive with $13.84 million in ten days and clearly isn't duplicating the word of mouth or the performance of its predecessor, 2014's God's Not Dead, which grossed $21.75 million in its first ten days after falling just 4.5 percent in its second weekend to take in $8.80 million.

Weekend domestic gross

YearWeekendTop 10 GrossChg. LY%Total GrossChg. LY% Top movie of the week
198346 (Nov 18 - Nov 20) - 1983$16,406,933-24%$20,182,192-8%Amityville 3-D
198546 (Nov 15 - Nov 17) - 1985$20,444,011-22%$23,925,826-17%Once Bitten
198646 (Nov 14 - Nov 16) - 1986$22,085,6358%$26,295,95110%Crocodile Dundee
198446 (Nov 16 - Nov 18) - 1984$26,050,53859%$28,781,93543%Missing in Action
198846 (Nov 11 - Nov 13) - 1988$29,628,860-6%$32,209,324-14%Child's Play
199146 (Nov 15 - Nov 17) - 1991$31,126,454-40%$33,456,652-38%Cape Fear
198746 (Nov 13 - Nov 15) - 1987$31,542,14343%$37,418,58142%The Running Man
199346 (Nov 12 - Nov 14) - 1993$45,203,111-22%$53,513,176-12%The Three Musketeers (1993)
199046 (Nov 16 - Nov 18) - 1990$51,581,133-1%$53,850,138-2%Home Alone
198946 (Nov 17 - Nov 19) - 1989$52,044,03976%$54,977,05371%Harlem Nights
199246 (Nov 13 - Nov 15) - 1992$57,950,75886%$60,573,25981%Bram Stoker's Dracula
199746 (Nov 14 - Nov 16) - 1997$62,856,334-22%$74,132,157-10%The Jackal
199546 (Nov 17 - Nov 19) - 1995$76,161,016-9%$78,112,667-10%GoldenEye
199646 (Nov 15 - Nov 17) - 1996$80,546,9836%$82,232,9955%Space Jam
199446 (Nov 18 - Nov 20) - 1994$83,681,43885%$86,861,89762%Star Trek: Generations
199846 (Nov 13 - Nov 15) - 1998$83,457,34233%$90,102,88822%The Waterboy
200746 (Nov 16 - Nov 18) - 2007$90,430,084-30%$104,363,432-29%Beowulf
199946 (Nov 12 - Nov 14) - 1999$83,281,0480%$105,033,00617%Pokemon: The First Movie
201046 (Nov 12 - Nov 14) - 2010$107,692,567-11%$121,351,660-9%Megamind
201346 (Nov 15 - Nov 17) - 2013$115,112,784-52%$127,286,137-49%Thor: The Dark World
200346 (Nov 14 - Nov 16) - 2003$116,710,457-27%$132,499,228-23%Elf
200946 (Nov 13 - Nov 15) - 2009$121,161,383-10%$133,340,684-10%2012
201446 (Nov 14 - Nov 16) - 2014$125,728,4889%$140,406,04710%Dumb and Dumber To
200446 (Nov 12 - Nov 14) - 2004$130,757,31712%$144,257,1309%The Incredibles
200646 (Nov 17 - Nov 19) - 2006$129,190,331-24%$146,017,146-19%Happy Feet
200846 (Nov 14 - Nov 16) - 2008$134,789,02949%$148,560,92042%Quantum of Solace
200046 (Nov 17 - Nov 19) - 2000$143,269,83272%$154,702,06247%How the Grinch Stole Christmas
200146 (Nov 16 - Nov 18) - 2001$150,076,9945%$160,692,0684%Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone
200246 (Nov 15 - Nov 17) - 2002$158,828,3416%$172,248,4127%Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets
200546 (Nov 18 - Nov 20) - 2005$169,018,70329%$181,147,11726%Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire
201146 (Nov 18 - Nov 20) - 2011$213,090,55998%$222,507,45883%The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn - Part 1
201246 (Nov 16 - Nov 18) - 2012$240,504,45313%$250,062,22912%The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn - Part 2