Weekend Estimates: 'The Boss' ($23.48M) & 'Batman v Superman' ($23.44M) in Tight Race for First Place; 'Hardcore Henry' ($5.10M) Arrives SoftlyApril 10, 2016 09:42 AM

by Daniel Garris

It was an extremely close race between Universal's The Boss and Warner's Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice for first place this weekend. The Boss is currently estimated to come out ahead with $23.48 million, but with an estimated lead of only $45,000, either film could ultimately end up in first place this weekend.

Regardless of whether or not it ends up in first place this weekend, The Boss outpaced expectations and performed well with its modest price tag in mind. The Melissa McCarthy led R-rated comedy also proved to be critic-proof this weekend. The film's opening weekend performance was 9 percent ahead of the $21.58 million opening weekend of 2014's Tammy (though it should be noted that Tammy's opening weekend take was softened by a Wednesday debut) and 19 percent below the $29.09 million debut of last year's Spy (it should be noted that The Boss had been widely expected to open below Spy). With this weekend's performance of The Boss, McCarthy continues to remain one of the more consistent box office draws in recent years. McCarthy will next appear in Sony's Ghostbusters, which arrives on July 15.

The Boss started out with $8.11 million on Friday (which included an estimated $985,000 from Thursday night shows), increased a healthy 20 percent on Saturday to take in $9.73 million and is estimated to decline 42 percent on Sunday to gross $5.64 million. That gave the film an estimated opening weekend to Friday ratio of 2.90 to 1. The Boss skewed heavily toward female moviegoers (67 percent) and slightly towards moviegoers under the age of 35 (51 percent). Audience reception to The Boss appears to be lackluster as the film received a C+ rating on CinemaScore and current has a Flixster audience score of just 50 percent. With that in mind, it's quite possible that The Boss won't hold up as well going forward as McCarthy's previous hits have. On the other hand, the film's mentioned strong Saturday hold is an early encouraging sign.

After leading the box office for the past two weeks Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice fell to a close second place this weekend with an estimated $23.44 million. The blockbuster 3D superhero film starring Ben Affleck and Henry Cavill continued to fall off sharply, as the film was down 54 percent from last weekend. Batman v Superman is now on the verge of reaching the $300 million domestic mark with a 17-day take of $296.69 million. However, as a result of its soft holding power thus far, Batman v Superman is now running just 1 percent ahead of the $294.51 million 17-day take of last year's Furious 7 (which fell 51 percent in its third weekend to gross $29.16 million). With that in mind, Batman v Superman will soon fall behind the pace of Furious 7, especially with Disney's highly anticipated The Jungle Book entering the marketplace this coming Friday.

While Batman v Superman continued to decline sharply this weekend, Disney's Zootopia continued to display strong holding power with an estimated third place take of $14.35 million. The blockbuster 3D computer animated film was down just 26 percent from last weekend. Without taking into account ticket price inflation, Zootopia registered the eighth largest sixth weekend gross of all-time. Zootopia is also on the verge of reaching the $300 million domestic mark with a 38-day take of $296.01 million. The film is now running just 8 percent behind the $320.39 million 38-day take of last year's Inside Out and will continue to make up ground in that comparison going forward. Zootopia already has a current total gross to opening weekend ratio of 3.94 to 1.

Universal's My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 placed in fourth with an estimated $6.42 million. The PG-13 rated comedy sequel starring and written by Nia Vardalos was down 43 percent, as the film took a hit from the debut The Boss this weekend. My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 continues to perform towards the higher end of expectations with a 17-day take of $46.75 million. That places the film 6 percent behind the $49.59 million 17-day gross of last year's The Intern (which fell just 26 percent in its third weekend to take in $8.68 million). My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 will hope to re-stabilize next weekend with the debut of The Boss behind it.

Hardcore Henry rounded out the weekend's top five with an estimated $5.10 million. The low-budget action film from STX Entertainment opened below pre-release expectations and delivered a lackluster per-location average of $1,690 from just 3,015 locations. The trailer for Hardcore Henry had gone over well, especially online, but that reception ultimately failed to get moviegoers to see the film this weekend. Hardcore Henry delivered the lowest debut for STX Entertainment to date in the distributor's young history. The film opened with $2.01 million on Friday (which included an estimated $380,000 from Thursday night shows), declined a concerning 7 percent on Saturday to gross $1.87 million and is estimated to slide 35 percent on Sunday to take in $1.22 million. That places the film's estimated opening weekend to Friday ratio at a fairly front-loaded 2.54 to 1. Much like The Boss, Hardcore Henry doesn't appear to be going over all that well with moviegoers. Hardcore Henry also received a C+ rating on CinemaScore and has a respectable current Flixster audience score of 66 percent.

Faith-based films Miracles from Heaven and God's Not Dead 2 claimed sixth and seventh place with respective estimated takes of $4.80 million and $4.05 million. Sony's Miracles from Heaven was down a very solid 34 percent this weekend, while God's Not Dead 2 was down a sizable 47 percent. Miracles from Heaven passed the $50 million mark this weekend and continues to perform nicely with $53.81 million in 26 days. God's Not Dead 2 has been far less impressive with $13.84 million in ten days and clearly isn't duplicating the word of mouth or the performance of its predecessor, 2014's God's Not Dead, which grossed $21.75 million in its first ten days after falling just 4.5 percent in its second weekend to take in $8.80 million.

Weekly domestic gross

WeekTop 10 GrossChg. LW%Total GrossChg. LW% Top movie of the week
48 (Dec 01 - Dec 07)$127,798,857-42%$0Coco
47 (Nov 24 - Nov 30)$219,075,893-31%$0Coco
46 (Nov 17 - Nov 23)$315,310,22681%$0Justice League
45 (Nov 10 - Nov 16)$174,174,745-18%$0Thor: Ragnarok
44 (Nov 03 - Nov 09)$212,660,354170%$234,540,000114%Thor: Ragnarok
43 (Oct 27 - Nov 02)$78,627,030-22%$109,412,000-14%Jigsaw
42 (Oct 20 - Oct 26)$100,470,457-13%$127,285,000-3%Tyler Perry's Boo 2! A Madea Halloween
41 (Oct 13 - Oct 19)$115,420,822-20%$131,607,000-12%Happy Death Day
40 (Oct 06 - Oct 12)$144,203,105-17%$149,133,00024%Blade Runner 2049
39 (Sep 29 - Oct 05)$173,413,44626%$119,969,000-21%It (2017)
38 (Sep 22 - Sep 28)$137,416,0403%$152,770,0004%Kingsman: The Golden Circle
37 (Sep 15 - Sep 21)$133,837,531-33%$147,360,000-31%It (2017)
36 (Sep 08 - Sep 14)$199,506,124182%$215,033,00091%It (2017)
35 (Sep 01 - Sep 07)$70,774,1735%$112,582,00014%The Hitman's Bodyguard
34 (Aug 25 - Aug 31)$67,568,884-37%$98,930,000-29%The Hitman's Bodyguard
33 (Aug 18 - Aug 24)$108,071,354-23%$138,558,000-20%The Hitman's Bodyguard
32 (Aug 11 - Aug 17)$139,713,151-12%$172,979,000-6%Annabelle: Creation
31 (Aug 04 - Aug 10)$158,458,111-22%$184,433,000-17%The Dark Tower
30 (Jul 28 - Aug 03)$204,439,850-21%$220,905,000-19%Dunkirk
29 (Jul 21 - Jul 27)$260,331,68615%$273,849,00013%Dunkirk
28 (Jul 14 - Jul 20)$225,687,544-22%$242,911,000-20%War for the Planet of the Apes
27 (Jul 07 - Jul 13)$290,711,28212%$303,711,0008%Spider-Man: Homecoming
26 (Jun 30 - Jul 06)$259,130,05333%$281,153,00031%Despicable Me 3
25 (Jun 23 - Jun 29)$194,453,904-28%$213,822,000-27%Transformers: The Last Knight
24 (Jun 16 - Jun 22)$270,763,99935%$292,403,00039%Cars 3
23 (Jun 09 - Jun 15)$200,114,247-23%$210,994,000-21%Wonder Woman
22 (Jun 02 - Jun 08)$258,579,50626%$267,837,00023%Wonder Woman
21 (May 26 - Jun 01)$204,615,47431%$218,495,00026%Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales
20 (May 19 - May 25)$155,812,824-3%$173,475,000-2%Alien: Covenant
19 (May 12 - May 18)$160,091,852-31%$176,217,000-29%Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2
18 (May 05 - May 11)$232,845,222127%$247,760,00092%Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2
17 (Apr 28 - May 04)$102,775,584-12%$128,873,000-8%The Fate of the Furious
16 (Apr 21 - Apr 27)$116,913,495-44%$139,923,000-39%The Fate of the Furious
15 (Apr 14 - Apr 20)$209,211,52339%$228,079,00033%The Fate of the Furious
14 (Apr 07 - Apr 13)$150,992,825-28%$171,809,000-23%The Boss Baby
13 (Mar 31 - Apr 06)$210,763,353-17%$222,176,000-17%The Boss Baby
12 (Mar 24 - Mar 30)$254,424,007-24%$266,163,000-24%Beauty and the Beast
11 (Mar 17 - Mar 23)$336,315,43064%$348,993,00053%Beauty and the Beast
10 (Mar 10 - Mar 16)$204,747,563-8%$227,594,000-10%Kong: Skull Island
09 (Mar 03 - Mar 09)$222,698,21357%$252,080,00049%Logan
08 (Feb 24 - Mar 02)$141,705,398-24%$168,675,000-24%Get Out
07 (Feb 17 - Feb 23)$186,990,395-20%$221,332,000-15%The LEGO Batman Movie
06 (Feb 10 - Feb 16)$235,140,731137%$260,605,00099%Fifty Shades Darker
05 (Feb 03 - Feb 09)$99,044,614-32%$131,133,000-29%Split
04 (Jan 27 - Feb 02)$146,109,488-8%$183,747,000-5%Split
03 (Jan 20 - Jan 26)$158,594,250-9%$193,991,000-12%Split
02 (Jan 13 - Jan 19)$173,560,332-47%$219,558,00015%Hidden Figures
01 (Jan 06 - Jan 12)$325,700,134--$191,219,000--Rogue One: A Star Wars Story