Weekend Predictions: 'Underworld Awakening,' 'Red Tails,' 'Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close' and 'Haywire'

Featured Stories - on January 18, 2012 by Phil Contrino

12012predictions.pngUnderworld Awakening should have no problem claiming the #1 spot at the box office this coming weekend.

What do Contraband, last weekend's champion, and Underworld Awakening have in common? Kate Beckinsale. The gorgeous actress is poised to hold some serious bragging rights if Underworld Awakening makes good on the potential it's currently displaying on Facebook and Twitter. Beckinsale and Resident Evil's Milla Jovovich have shown that a female-driven action franchise is commercially viable in a field dominated by men.

As of 4 p.m. PT, Fandango reports that Underworld Awakening is responsible for 9% of daily sales.

Expect Underworld to rake in $21.5 million from around 2,900 locations.

Red Tails is surging in a big way thanks not only to the amount of publicity that producer George Lucas generates, but also to key endorsements from the likes of Tyler Perry. This one has "sleeper" written all over it.

Fandango reports that Red Tails leads daily sales with an impressive 20%.

Red Tails should grab $18 million from around 2,500 locations.

Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close expands to more than 2,500 locations this weekend after building up some buzz in platform release. While the drama's focus on 9/11 means that many people will avoid it, it helps that Tom Hanks and Sandra Bullock are on board. Expect this one to gain momentum in the weeks to come as more viewers decide to take a chance on it.

Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close looks poised for $12 million this coming weekend.

Haywire boasts one of the year's best ensembles, but too many other male-skewing flicks are in the market right now. Steven Soderbergh's latest will have to work hard to build word-of-mouth after the opening weekend if it wants to stick around in theaters.

Fandango reports that Haywire has yet to crack the top five sellers list.

Haywire should bring in $8.5 million from around 2,000 locations during its debut frame.

Check out the rest of our predictions in the table below.


Title Release Date Distributor Weekend Gross
Underworld Awakening Jan 20, 2012 Sony / Screen Gems
$21,500,000 $21,500,000
Red Tails Jan 20, 2012 Fox
$18,000,000 $18,000,000
Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close Dec 25, 2011 Warner Bros.
$12,000,000 $12,700,000
Contraband Jan 13, 2012 Universal
$11,800,000 $45,800,000
Beauty and the Beast 3D Jan 13, 2012 Disney
$10,700,000 $35,500,000
Haywire Jan 20, 2012 Relativity Media
$8,500,000 $8,500,000
Joyful Noise Jan 13, 2012 Warner Bros.
$7,000,000 $22,800,000
Mission: Impossible - Ghost Protocol Dec 16, 2011 Paramount
$6,800,000 $198,700,000
Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows Dec 16, 2011 Warner Bros.
$5,000,000 $178,000,000
The Iron Lady Dec 30, 2011 Weinstein Company
$4,500,000 $13,400,000

Additional reporting by Daniel Garris and Alex Edghill.


Tags: Underworld Awakening, Red Tails, Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close, Haywire


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